DARIMARKET
CFB · Game recap · Sat, Oct 10

LSU vs. Kentucky Recap: Leavitt TD and Darby Yards Cash in OT

Final · LSU Tigers at Kentucky Wildcats
Kentucky 35, LSU 34
Board plays on this game
2 of 5 hit. We post the misses too.

Kentucky beat LSU 35-34 in overtime, and it took a two-point conversion to settle it. LSU scored first in the extra period on a 15-yard Sam Leavitt run. Kentucky answered with a 1-yard CJ Baxter run, then Kenny Minchey ran in the two-point try for the win. Before that, the game swung back and forth all night: a Brock Coffman 55-yard punt return touchdown, a 41-yard touchdown pass from Jackson Harris to Roman Mothershed, and an Adam Zouagui 33-yard field goal with 12 seconds left in regulation to tie it at 27. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Sam Leavitt 1+ passing TDs (alt, worth it at -350 or better): CASHED - Our read: Leavitt had thrown a touchdown pass in 12 straight games, and LSU was implied for about 29.5 points. - What happened: Leavitt completed 25 of 34 passes for 275 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. The first scoring pass came in the first quarter, a 22-yarder to Zach Grace, so this one was settled early. He added a 10-yard touchdown to Jackson Harris in the second quarter, finishing 1.5 over the line, and he also ran for a score in overtime. - Worth watching: A long touchdown streak plus a healthy team total is the profile we like for this market. The price is steep at this number, so it fits best as a parlay leg.

Kenny Darby 40+ receiving yards (alt, worth it at -200 or better): CASHED - Our read: Darby is Kentucky's top receiver and had 40+ yards in all five games, 322 yards in total. LSU came in with the SEC's best total defense, so we kept this to a modest number. - What happened: Darby caught 4 passes for 79 yards with a long of 35. That is 39.5 yards over the line. He led Kentucky in receiving yards on a night Minchey threw for 246. - Worth watching: Darby keeps clearing 40 even against a strong defense. If the main line stays near this range, his yardage props are worth a look again.

These plays were on the board before kickoff.Join the board free →

How the game played out

LSU outgained Kentucky 410 to 401 and won the time of possession, but two turnovers hurt. Leavitt threw an interception in the third quarter and lost a fumble in the fourth. Kentucky did not turn it over once. Baxter was the steady hand for the Wildcats with 123 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries, with a long run of 77.

Trends to watch

  • Leavitt carried 15 times and scored the first overtime touchdown on the ground. That rushing role is worth factoring into his touchdown and rushing props.
  • Dilin Jones caught 7 passes for 84 yards out of the LSU backfield. His receiving usage is worth tracking next week.
  • Baxter averaged 6.5 yards a carry. With 19 carries in a one-score game, his rushing props are worth a look when Kentucky expects to stay close.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more in our player prop and parlay guides, or browse the CFB hub.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

More College Football recaps

Today's College Football picks →

DARIMARKET

Pull up to the board.

The next slate is already on the board, ranked by confidence, with live calls during the games. It's free to join.

Join DARIMARKET free