DARIMARKET
CFB · Game recap · Sat, Oct 24

Miami (OH) vs. Central Michigan Recap: Late TD Caps a 55-Point Game

Final · Miami (OH) RedHawks at Central Michigan Chippewas
Miami OH 28, C Michigan 27
Board plays on this game
2 of 2 hit.

Miami (OH) beat Central Michigan 28-27 on a D'Shawntae Jones 2-yard touchdown run with 1:41 left. The lead changed hands seven times, nobody led by more than six, and Central Michigan's final drive ended on downs. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, both built on the idea that these offenses would keep scoring.

What cashed

ALT: Over 33.5 total points (-257 DraftKings / -265 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Miami (OH) games had gone over 33.5 in each of their last 10, and Central Michigan games in 8 of their last 10. The main DraftKings total was 39.5, so the alt gave us six extra points of room. - What happened: The teams combined for 55 points, 21.5 over the line. It was already over before the fourth quarter started: Langston Lewis caught a 9-yard touchdown from Jadyn Glasser with 0:57 left in the third to make it 24-21 Central Michigan. - Worth watching: When a main total sits several points above both teams' recent floor, the alt over is a calmer way to play the same view. The price is steep, so it works best as a single, not a parlay filler.

ALT: Miami (OH) over 17.5 points (-180 DraftKings / -186 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Miami (OH) had scored 18 or more in six straight games and averaged 28.3 over its last 10. The main team total was 20.5. - What happened: Miami (OH) scored 28, 10.5 over the line, on four touchdowns: a Rodney Nelson 6-yard run, a 7-yard Caleb Heavner pass to Damarion Witten, a 27-yard Heavner run, and the Jones go-ahead score. The 75-yard drive that won it took 2:36. - Worth watching: Heavner threw two interceptions, one returned 46 yards for a Central Michigan touchdown, and the offense still got to 28. That says the scoring floor is real.

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How the game played out

Central Michigan stretched its lead to 27-21 on a Caden VanHuis 22-yard field goal with 4:17 left, capping a 13-play drive. Miami (OH) answered with eight plays and 75 yards. Central Michigan was held to 64 rushing yards on 29 attempts, so most of its offense came through the air: Glasser threw for 221 yards, completing 18 of 31.

Trends to watch

  • Langston Lewis caught 10 passes for 163 yards with a 47-yard long. Central Michigan's passing game runs through him, which makes his receiving line worth checking next week.
  • Maleek Huggins was Miami's top target with 7 catches for 122 yards.
  • Miami (OH) ran it 36 times for 139 yards and held the ball for 31:12.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these bets? Read up on alt lines and totals, or see the rest of the college football board.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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