DARIMARKET
CFB · Game recap · Sat, Oct 10

San Diego St vs. Oregon St Recap: Legree, Atkinson Cash in 66-14 Rout

Final · San Diego State Aztecs at Oregon State Beavers
Oregon St 66, San Diego St 14
Board plays on this game
5 of 5 hit.

Oregon State beat San Diego State 66-14, and the game was settled early. The Beavers scored touchdowns on their first five drives and led 38-7 at the half. They finished with 651 total yards to 147 for the Aztecs, converted 12 of 17 third downs and held the ball for 42:18. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, all posted before kickoff.

What cashed

Oregon State ML (-750 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Oregon State was a 16.5-point home favorite, and we took the straight win. - What happened: The Beavers scored first at 9:39 of the first quarter and never trailed. They won by 52. - Worth watching: At -750 the price is steep on its own. A number like that is mostly useful as a short leg, so check the implied probability before laying it.

ALT: Oregon State -9.5 (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: The main line was Oregon State -16.5 at home, and Dimers projected 35-18. The alt trimmed seven points off the main number. - What happened: Oregon State led 14-0 after one quarter and 38-7 at the half. The 52-point win cleared -9.5 by 42.5. - Worth watching: Shaving a full touchdown off a big home favorite is the kind of cushion we like when the projection already sits well past the main spread.

Braden Atkinson 300+ passing yards: CASHED - Our read: Atkinson came in with 1,848 passing yards in five games (370 a game) and 300+ in all five, against a San Diego State defense ranked 128th against the pass. - What happened: Atkinson completed 29 of 38 passes for 409 yards, 5 TD and 0 INT, clearing 299.5 by 109.5. His 71-yard strike to Jesse Legree came on Oregon State's first snap of the second half. - Worth watching: He threw 38 times even in a blowout before Maalik Murphy took over late. As long as that volume holds, the 300 mark stays in play against weak pass defenses.

These plays were on the board before kickoff.Join the board free →

Jesse Legree 100+ receiving yards: CASHED - Our read: Legree had 100+ receiving yards in all five games (741 yards, 9 TDs, 148 a game), and San Diego State ranked 127th against receivers by our engine's matchup grade. - What happened: Legree caught 10 passes for 191 yards and 3 TD with a long of 71, clearing 99.5 by 91.5. His 191 receiving yards topped San Diego State's 147 total yards. - Worth watching: No other Beaver caught more than four passes. That target share is what makes his yardage props worth a look each week, matchup permitting.

Jesse Legree anytime TD: CASHED - Our read: Legree had scored in all five games (9 total), and Oregon State was implied for about 35 points as a 16.5-point favorite. - What happened: Legree scored three times: an 11-yard catch early in the second quarter, then 71- and 31-yard catches on back-to-back Oregon State drives in the third. That puts him at 12 touchdowns on the season. - Worth watching: A top target in a high-scoring offense is the profile we want for an anytime TD. Price still matters, so shop it before betting.

How the game played out

San Diego State's offense managed one touchdown, an 11-yard pass from Jayden Denegal to Jacob Bostick with 25 seconds left in the first half. Its other score was a 97-yard kickoff return by Jaylon Hawkins. The Aztecs converted just 2 of 13 third downs and ran for 56 yards on 21 carries. Oregon State spread its 45 carries around, with AJ Newberry (55 yards and a 27-yard score) and Kourdey Glass (51 yards) leading the way.

Trends to watch

  • Atkinson's workload: 38 attempts, 409 yards and five touchdown passes. Murphy came in late and completed all 8 of his throws, so late-game garbage time can cap the starter's total.
  • Legree's usage: 10 catches and three scores, with a 71-yard long. He is the clear first read in this offense.
  • San Diego State's pass defense gave up 462 passing yards here. That matchup grade looks right, and opposing receivers are worth a look against them.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these bets? Read up on alt lines, implied probability and our CFB hub.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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