South Florida vs. Bowling Green Recap: USF Wins Ugly, Late
South Florida beat Bowling Green 14-6, and it took until the fourth quarter. Bowling Green led 6-0 on two Travis Kenner field goals, and USF didn't score until early in the fourth. The Bulls lost two fumbles in the first quarter, turned it over on downs in the second and came up empty on a field goal try before halftime. Then Luke Kromenhoek ran in a 2-yard touchdown with 12:07 left, and D.J. Crowther added a 1-yard score at 5:34. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
ALT: Bowling Green team total Under 20.5 (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED
- Our read: Bowling Green scored 7 at Nebraska and 7 at Iowa State, and QB Jay Kastantin hadn't reached 100 passing yards in either game. The Falcons were running for 2.8 yards a carry. USF allowed 16.7 points a game, and the spread and total implied about 15 for Bowling Green.
- What happened: Bowling Green scored 6, under by 14.5. It had 207 total yards and went 5-for-15 on third down. After USF's first fumble, Bowling Green could only turn the takeaway into a field goal on a 4-play, 7-yard drive. Its last drive went 15 plays and ended on downs.
- Worth watching: This was the strongest read on the game. Bowling Green's offense was exactly as limited as the numbers said, and its team total under stays worth a look.
D.J. Crowther anytime TD: CASHED
- Our read: Crowther led USF with 182 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns, including 3 the week before. Bowling Green was giving up 43.7 points and 506 yards a game.
- What happened: He ran 23 times for 143 yards, with a long of 22, and caught one pass for 11. His touchdown was a 1-yard run with 5:34 left that capped a 6-play, 72-yard drive and made it 14-6. He had 143 of USF's 162 rushing yards.
- Worth watching: He carried the offense. It took until the fourth quarter, but his workload made him the most likely scorer on the field.
How the game played out
Kastantin completed 16 of 28 passes, 122 yards, with no touchdowns and no interceptions, and ran 7 times for -7 yards. Austyn Dendy ran 18 times for 48 yards. Bowling Green held the ball for 32:34 and didn't turn it over, but never reached the end zone. On the other side, Michael Van Buren Jr. completed 7 of 11 passes for 52 yards and lost two fumbles, and Myles Bradley had 4.5 sacks for Bowling Green.
Trends to watch
- Bowling Green scored 7 at Nebraska, 7 at Iowa State and 6 here. Its team total under stays on our list.
- USF's passing game was nearly absent: 52 yards on 11 attempts. The offense runs through Crowther, and that concentrates the touchdown chances too.
- Crowther had 23 carries. His rushing yards and touchdown props are worth a look every week.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these terms? Read up on the anytime touchdown, the total and more college football recaps.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.