TCU vs Baylor Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Oct 17)
Published · Updated · College Football
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: TCU Horned Frogs 17, Baylor Bears 6 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in TCU vs Baylor?
Final on Oct 17, 2026: TCU 17, Baylor 6. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Jaden Craig (175+ pass yds: 294), Kari Ashley (4+ receptions: 4), Ed Small (2+ receptions: 7), Jordan Dwyer (20+ rec yds: 150), Jordan Dwyer (3+ receptions: 6), DJ Lagway (150+ pass yds: 256). Fell short: Jeremy Payne (70+ rush yds: 0), Jeremy Payne (1+ receptions: 0), Kari Ashley (40+ rec yds: 18).
Game script
TCU beat Baylor 17-6, an 11-point margin.
TCU Horned Frogs player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden CraigQB | 175+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 273.8 | 9 of 10 | 294 | Held |
| Jeremy PayneRB | 70+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 90.8 | 8 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Jeremy Payne | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 2.7 | 9 of 10 | 0 | Missed |
| Kari AshleyTE | 40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 74.8 | 4 of 5 | 18 | Missed |
| Kari Ashley | 4+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 5 | 4 of 5 | 4 | Held |
| Ed SmallWR | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.4 | 8 of 10 | 7 | Held |
| Jordan DwyerWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 57.3 | 9 of 10 | 150 | Held |
| Jordan Dwyer | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.2 | 8 of 10 | 6 | Held |
Baylor Bears player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ LagwayQB | 150+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 213.6 | 8 of 10 | 256 | Held |
| Gavin FreemanWR | 40+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 72.7 | 9 of 10 | 76 | Held |
| Gavin Freeman | 6+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 7.2 | 8 of 10 | 7 | Held |
Player by player
Jaden Craig finished with 294 passing yards, clearing 175+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jaden Craig's last 10 showed 175+ pass yds in 9 of 10.
Jeremy Payne finished with 0 rushing yards, 70 short of 70+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Jeremy Payne finished with 0 receptions, 1 short of 1+ receptions. That hit rate missed this time. Before this game, Jeremy Payne's last 10 showed 70+ rush yds in 8 of 10, 1+ receptions in 9 of 10.
Kari Ashley finished with 18 receiving yards, 22 short of 40+ rec yds. That hit rate missed this time. Kari Ashley finished with 4 receptions, clearing 4+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Kari Ashley's last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 4 of 5, 4+ receptions in 4 of 5.
Ed Small finished with 7 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Ed Small's last 10 showed 2+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Jordan Dwyer finished with 150 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Jordan Dwyer finished with 6 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jordan Dwyer's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 3+ receptions in 8 of 10.
DJ Lagway finished with 256 passing yards, clearing 150+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, DJ Lagway's last 10 showed 150+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Gavin Freeman finished with 76 receiving yards, clearing 40+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Gavin Freeman finished with 7 receptions, clearing 6+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Gavin Freeman's last 10 showed 40+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 6+ receptions in 8 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of TCU vs Baylor on Oct 17, 2026?
TCU Horned Frogs 17, Baylor Bears 6 (Final). TCU beat Baylor 17-6, an 11-point margin.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.