TCU vs UCF Player Prop Results: Who Cleared Their Hit Rates (Sep 26)
Published · Updated · College Football
This page is a post-game player prop hit-rate recap from DARIMARKET, a free sports research app for people who bet player props on FanDuel and DraftKings. It compares each key player's final stat line with what their last 10 games pointed to before the game.
Final: TCU Horned Frogs 13, UCF Knights 21 (Final).
Who cleared their player props in TCU vs UCF?
Final on Sep 26, 2026: TCU 13, UCF 21. Cleared the line their last 10 pointed to: Jaden Craig (200+ pass yds: 310), Jeremy Payne (1+ receptions: 6), Jordan Dwyer (20+ rec yds: 100), Jordan Dwyer (3+ receptions: 5), Josh Derry (20+ rec yds: 41), Josh Derry (2+ receptions: 3). Fell short: Jeremy Payne (50+ rush yds: 48).
Game script
UCF beat TCU 21-13, an 8-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
TCU Horned Frogs player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden CraigQB | 200+ pass ydsPassing yards, last-10 avg 276.2 | 8 of 10 | 310 | Held |
| Jeremy PayneRB | 50+ rush ydsRushing yards, last-10 avg 80 | 8 of 10 | 48 | Missed |
| Jeremy Payne | 1+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 1.9 | 8 of 10 | 6 | Held |
| Jordan DwyerWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 50.5 | 9 of 10 | 100 | Held |
| Jordan Dwyer | 3+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4 | 8 of 10 | 5 | Held |
UCF Knights player prop results
| Player | Line (last 10 before) | Pre-game | Actual | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh DerryWR | 20+ rec ydsReceiving yards, last-10 avg 60.3 | 9 of 10 | 41 | Held |
| Josh Derry | 2+ receptionsReceptions, last-10 avg 4.3 | 10 of 10 | 3 | Held |
Player by player
Jaden Craig finished with 310 passing yards, clearing 200+ pass yds. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jaden Craig's last 10 showed 200+ pass yds in 8 of 10.
Jeremy Payne finished with 48 rushing yards, 2 short of 50+ rush yds. That hit rate missed this time. Jeremy Payne finished with 6 receptions, clearing 1+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jeremy Payne's last 10 showed 50+ rush yds in 8 of 10, 1+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Jordan Dwyer finished with 100 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Jordan Dwyer finished with 5 receptions, clearing 3+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Jordan Dwyer's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 3+ receptions in 8 of 10.
Josh Derry finished with 41 receiving yards, clearing 20+ rec yds. That hit rate held. Josh Derry finished with 3 receptions, clearing 2+ receptions. That hit rate held. Before this game, Josh Derry's last 10 showed 20+ rec yds in 9 of 10, 2+ receptions in 10 of 10.
What's next
What was the final score of TCU vs UCF on Sep 26, 2026?
TCU Horned Frogs 13, UCF Knights 21 (Final). UCF beat TCU 21-13, an 8-point margin. A one-score game, so both offenses ran their normal script to the end.
What does "the line their last 10 pointed to" mean?
For each player and stat, it is the highest line the player had cleared in at least 8 of their last 10 games before this one (80% of their games when fewer than 10 were on file). It is a research benchmark from past results, not a sportsbook line or a prediction.
More College Football player prop results
Pre-game numbers are each player's last 10 games on file before this game; actual stats are from the final box score. Research and commentary only, not betting advice. 21+.
Hit rates show what already happened, not what will. Nothing here is a guarantee. Research only; DARIMARKET is not a sportsbook. Always check the live line at your book. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-MY-RESET.