DARIMARKET
CFB · Game recap · Sat, Oct 10

Tennessee vs. Arkansas Recap: DeSean Bishop Wins It Late, Five Cash

Final · Tennessee Volunteers at Arkansas Razorbacks
Tennessee 24, Arkansas 17
Board plays on this game
5 of 5 hit.

Tennessee beat Arkansas 24-17 on the road, and it came down to the final two minutes. The Vols led 7-0 at halftime on a 5-yard George MacIntyre pass to Trent Thomas, then fell behind 14-7 when Arkansas scored twice in the third quarter. A 1-yard DaSaahn Brame run put Tennessee back in front, Max Gilbert tied it with a 55-yard field goal, and DeSean Bishop broke the tie with an 8-yard touchdown run with 1:57 left. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

DeSean Bishop anytime TD: CASHED

  • Our read: Bishop had seven rushing touchdowns in five games, Tennessee was favored by 13.5 against a run defense ranked 128th, and with a backup quarterback likely starting we expected the goal-line work to go through him.
  • What happened: His only touchdown was the one that won the game, an 8-yard run with 1:57 left that made it 24-17.
  • Worth watching: Bishop got the ball when Tennessee needed a score late. A back trusted with that work is worth checking for an anytime touchdown every week.

DeSean Bishop 14+ rush attempts (alt): CASHED

  • Our read: He came in with 88 carries in five games, 17.6 a game. With RB2 Javin Gordon questionable and a likely first-time starter at quarterback, Tennessee figured to lean on the run.
  • What happened: Bishop carried 19 times for 138 yards, 5.5 clear of the 13.5 line, with a long of 59.
  • Worth watching: His 7.3 yards a carry came on a full workload. As long as Tennessee keeps feeding him like this, carries props in the mid-teens stay in play.

KJ Jackson under 1.5 passing TDs: CASHED

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  • Our read: Jackson was averaging 154 passing yards against Power 4 teams and threw for 111 at Texas A&M. Tennessee was allowing 162.6 passing yards a game, third-best in the SEC.
  • What happened: Jackson completed 15 of 27 passes for 155 yards with one touchdown, a 4-yard throw to Jaden Platt in the third quarter. He also ran nine times for minus-3 yards.
  • Worth watching: His yardage landed right around his Power 4 average, and Tennessee's pass defense held him to one score. This under is worth a look again when he faces a top pass defense.

Tennessee ML (-575 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Tennessee ranked 4th nationally in EPA per rush and Arkansas ranked 128th against the run, so the Vols could win on the ground even if George MacIntyre had to start in place of Faizon Brandon.
  • What happened: Tennessee won, but it was a fight. The Vols ran for 167 yards on 35 carries and outgained Arkansas 414 to 288, while turning it over three times. MacIntyre threw all 29 of Tennessee's passes, completing 18 of them for 247 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions.
  • Worth watching: At -575 you are paying for the result, not a clean game. The run game did what we expected; the turnovers kept Arkansas around.

ALT: Tennessee -6.5 (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED

  • Our read: Same matchup edge on the ground. We took 7 points off the main spread of -13.5 to cover the quarterback uncertainty.
  • What happened: Tennessee won by 7 and cashed by half a point. Without Bishop's touchdown with 1:57 left, the game was tied.
  • Worth watching: This is why the alt exists. The main number would not have covered, and the half point we kept was the whole margin.

How the game played out

Arkansas had the ball for 32:04 but went 2 of 11 on third down. Braylen Russell's 9-yard run and the Platt touchdown gave the Razorbacks their only lead, and Tennessee answered with a 49-yard Cooper Ranvier field goal before winning the fourth quarter 14-3.

Trends to watch

  • Bishop handled 19 of Tennessee's 35 carries. His share of the work makes his rushing and carries props the first place to look.
  • DaSaahn Brame caught three passes for 87 yards with a long of 68, and Mike Matthews added 78 on four. MacIntyre pushed the ball downfield, averaging 8.5 yards per attempt.
  • Arkansas ran 34 times for 133 yards. Jackson threw 27 times in a one-score game, a modest volume that matters for his yardage and touchdown lines.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these bet types? Read up on the moneyline, alt lines and player props, or head back to the college football hub.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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