UCF vs. Kansas Recap: Barnett Walk-Off TD, Derry 143 Yards

UCF beat Kansas 33-32 on the final snap. The Knights led 26-7 midway through the third quarter after Josh Derry's 44-yard touchdown catch, then watched Kansas score 25 straight. Dylan Edwards' 2-yard run and a two-point conversion gave the Jayhawks a 32-26 lead with 1:06 left. Alonza Barnett III answered with a 6-yard touchdown pass to Caden Piening with 0:01 on the clock, and Will Stone's kick won it. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Josh Derry 40+ receiving yards (-224 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Derry cleared 40+ receiving yards in 8 of his last 10 and 17 of his last 20. Best price -224 (69% implied) vs about 78% from recent games. - What happened: Derry had 8 catches for 143 yards, 103.5 over the line, including the 44-yard touchdown from Barnett in the third quarter. - Worth watching: He was the focal point of UCF's passing game, with more than half of Barnett's 251 yards. That share keeps his yardage line in play at higher rungs.

Nahzae Cox 37+ receiving yards (-114 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Cox cleared 37+ in 6 of his last 10 and 12 of his last 17. At -114 (53% implied) we had it near 63%. - What happened: One catch was all it took: a 42-yard grab, 5.5 over the line. - Worth watching: A single big play carried this. One reception is a thin path, so check his usage before backing it again near even money.

ALT: Over 38.5 total points (-360 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Kansas games went over 38.5 in 9 of the last 10 and UCF games in 7 of 10. The main total was 48.5, with a combined last-10 average of 53. - What happened: The teams combined for 65, 26.5 over. It went over when Isaiah Marshall's 30-yard touchdown run made it 26-14 late in the third. - Worth watching: Both offenses had their runs in this one. At -360 the price is steep, so this works better as a piece of something than on its own.

ALT: UCF +16.5 (-392 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: UCF had stayed inside 16.5 in 8 of its last 10 and 7 of 8 this season, and the market priced it near 80%. - What happened: UCF won outright by 1, clearing the number by 17.5. The ticket was safe all night, even while Kansas led late. - Worth watching: Big alt spreads like this are about avoiding blowouts, and UCF has been a team that stays close. The -392 price is the cost of that safety.

How the game played out

Kansas ran the ball well, with 194 rushing yards on 39 attempts. Marshall ran for 125 yards and 2 touchdowns on 13 carries and threw for 210. Khijohnn Cummings-Coleman and Edwards each added a short touchdown run in the fourth, and Martin Connington's 34-yard field goal in between cut it to 26-24. UCF was the cleaner team on penalties, with 0 penalties to Kansas' 5 penalties for 54 yards, and both sides turned it over twice.

Trends to watch

• Derry's role: 8 catches for 143 yards makes him the first UCF prop to check next week.
• Marshall's rushing: 125 yards on 13 carries for a quarterback is a usage pattern worth tracking on his rushing lines.
• UCF games staying close: a 1-point result fits the read behind the +16.5.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn how a point spread and an alt line work, or check the CFB hub.