DARIMARKET
CFB · Game recap · Sat, Nov 7

Oregon vs. Ohio State Recap: Ducks Rally From 14-0 With 38 Straight

Final · Oregon Ducks at Ohio State Buckeyes
Oregon 41, Ohio State 28
Board plays on this game
3 of 3 hit.

Oregon won 41-28 at Ohio State after spotting the Buckeyes a 14-0 lead. Bo Jackson ran for touchdowns of 16 and 8 yards in the first quarter, and then Oregon took over: 38 straight points, starting with a Gage Hurych field goal and running through Brandon Smith's 15-yard touchdown catch early in the fourth. Ohio State threw for 360 yards and scored twice late, but ran for only 53 yards on 21 attempts. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Oregon over 15.5 points (-174 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Oregon cleared 15.5 in 8 of its last 10 and 6 of 8 this season. - What happened: It looked shaky down 14-0, but Oregon scored 17 in the second quarter, with Jamari Johnson's 2-yard run at the horn putting the Ducks at 17 and over the line. They finished with 41, 25.5 over. - Worth watching: An early deficit is the main risk on a team-total alt, and this one was already over the line by halftime. The low number did its job.

ALT: Dakorien Moore 40+ receiving yards (-235 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Moore cleared 40+ receiving yards in 9 of his last 10 and 13 of his last 16. Best price -235 (70% implied) vs about 81% from recent games. - What happened: Moore led Oregon with 7 catches for 56 yards, 16.5 over the line, and scored on an 11-yard pass from Dylan Raiola in the third quarter. His longest catch was 16 yards, so he got there on volume. - Worth watching: Seven catches with none longer than 16 yards points to steady usage, which is what keeps a yardage floor alive. That is the profile we want on this kind of alt.

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ALT: Evan Stewart 4+ receptions (-188 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Stewart had 4+ catches in 5 of 6 games since returning (4 of his last 5). The main line was 4.5, and the 4+ rung was -188. - What happened: Stewart caught exactly 4 passes for 47 yards, with a long of 19. It cleared by half a point. - Worth watching: This is why we took the 4+ rung instead of the main 4.5: the extra half catch was the whole margin. His catch count since returning is the number to keep checking.

How the game played out

Oregon's ground game produced the big swing. Dierre Hill Jr. scored from 9 yards out late in the second quarter and broke a 48-yard touchdown run early in the third, finishing with 75 yards on 13 carries. Raiola completed 25 of 40 passes for 257 yards with 2 touchdowns and no interceptions, and Oregon did not turn it over.

Ohio State's passing game kept piling up yards. Luke Fahey threw for 360, and Jeremiah Smith caught 7 passes for 133 yards, including a 13-yard touchdown in the fourth.

Trends to watch

  • Moore's volume: 7 catches led the team, making his yardage and reception props worth a look again.
  • Oregon's second-half scoring: 24 points after halftime against a defense that had held them scoreless in the first quarter.
  • Ohio State's run game: 53 yards on 21 attempts pushed the offense into a pass-heavy script.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn how a player prop and an alt line work, or check the CFB hub.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

Player hit rates from this game

Research tools

Free. Hit rates show past results, not a prediction. 21+.

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