Wyoming vs. San Jose St Recap: OT Field Goal, Five Plays Cash

Wyoming beat San Jose State 16-13 in overtime on Friday night. The Spartans led 13-6 after two Trajan Sinatra field goals in the 3rd, and Wyoming answered with an 18-play, 75-yard drive that ate 10:11 and ended on Tyler Hughes' 8-yard touchdown pass to Jake Wilson with 6:25 left. In overtime, San Jose State turned it over on downs, and Erik Sandvik's 21-yard field goal won it. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Under 50.5 total points (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED - Our read: Wyoming was 135th in scoring at 14.2 a game, and the total dropped from 44.5 to 42.5 even with most of the money on the over. This alt added 8 points of cushion. - What happened: 29 total points, 21.5 under, even with an overtime field goal. Five of the seven scores were field goals. - Worth watching: Wyoming ran 53 times and held the ball for 37:42. A ball-control offense like that drains the clock and keeps totals low.

Wyoming under 19.5 team total points (-118 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Wyoming had scored 7.7 a game on the road, and Hughes had 2 touchdown passes all year. They would need three touchdowns to clear this. - What happened: Wyoming scored 16, 3.5 under, with one touchdown and three Sandvik field goals. - Worth watching: Wyoming went 3 of 15 on third down. Drives stalled into field goals, which is how this under stays alive even in a win.

Jabari Bates 40+ rushing yards (-114 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Bates had 19 or more carries in 4 straight games, and Wyoming had been giving up 190.8 rushing yards a game. - What happened: 16 carries for 69 yards, 29.5 over the line, with an 18-yard touchdown run in the 2nd quarter. - Worth watching: San Jose State ran only 28 times while Wyoming held the ball for 37:42. Bates' yardage still cleared with room.

ALT: Jabari Bates 10+ rush attempts (alt, worth it at -300 or better): CASHED - Our read: He had 10 or more carries in all 5 games this year and 24.3 a game over his last 3. - What happened: 16 carries, 6.5 over the line. - Worth watching: His carries fell from his recent pace with the Spartans holding the ball for only 22:18. A low alt like 10 holds up even when the game script cuts his volume.

Carson Clark 5+ receptions: CASHED - Our read: Clark had 29 catches in 5 games and 5 or more in every one, and Wyoming ranked 112th in passing success rate allowed. - What happened: 8 catches for 91 yards with a long of 26, 3.5 over the line. He led San Jose State in catches and receiving yards. - Worth watching: Luke Weaver threw 38 passes, and Clark caught 8 of them. That is 6 straight games with 5 or more catches.

How the game played out

Sandvik opened the scoring with a 38-yard field goal, and Bates' touchdown run gave San Jose State a 7-3 lead. Hughes ran 27 times for 92 yards on top of his passing, and Samuel Harris and Markell Holman added 67 and 62 rushing yards. Wyoming outrushed the Spartans 231 to 75. Weaver finished 26 of 38 passing with 251 yards and an interception.

Trends to watch

• Wyoming's run volume: 53 attempts and 37:42 of possession. Opposing team totals and game unders fit that pace.
• Clark's volume: 8 catches on a night San Jose State ran just 28 times. His reception props hold up when the Spartans throw.
• Bates' workload depends on possessions. Carries alts are safer than yardage when the other team controls the clock.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Read up on the total and alt line, or see the college football board.