Brewers vs. Padres Recap: Milwaukee's Bullpen Seals It, Unders Cash

The Brewers beat the Padres 3-1 in Game 4 to win the series 3-1. Milwaukee scored first in the 3rd when Garrett Mitchell singled to center to bring home Sal Frelick, and Fernando Tatis Jr. tied it in the bottom half with a 429-foot homer to center. Jackson Chourio's RBI single in the 5th scored Mitchell for a 2-1 lead, and Frelick's sacrifice fly in the 6th scored Jake Bauers. From there the Milwaukee bullpen did not allow a hit. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, mostly on the run unders and the walk lines.

What cashed

ALT: Padres under 4.5 team total runs (alt, targeted -175 or better): CASHED - Our read: San Diego had scored 2, 3 and 4 runs in the series against a Brewers bullpen with a 0.64 postseason ERA, with a .717 team OPS this season. - What happened: The Padres scored 1 run, 3.5 under the line, and it came on the Tatis solo homer. They had 3 hits, all off Robert Gasser. - Worth watching: Aaron Ashby, Abner Uribe and Trevor Megill threw 5 hitless innings. San Diego did not score more than 4 runs in any game of the series.

ALT: Under 8.5 total runs (alt, targeted -175 or better): CASHED - Our read: The Padres faced elimination down 2-1, the series totals were 5, 7 and 7, and Milwaukee planned to lean on its bullpen. - What happened: The game finished with 4 total runs, 4.5 under the line. Nobody scored after the 6th. - Worth watching: The series landed on 5, 7, 7 and 4 runs. Alt unders with a full run of cushion stayed in range every game.

Walker Buehler over 0.5 walks allowed (-247 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Buehler walked at least one batter in 25 of 32 starts (57 walks in 153.2 innings) and in each of his last 5, though DraftKings cut his outs line to 8.5. - What happened: He walked 2 in 3.0 innings, 1.5 over the line, on 47 pitches. - Worth watching: The short leash was real, and he still cleared it. A walk over only needs one, which keeps it alive in a short outing.

Robert Gasser over 0.5 walks allowed (-152 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Gasser had walked 35 in 109.1 innings (2.9 per 9) and issued at least one walk in each of his last 6 outings. - What happened: He walked 1 over 4.0 innings, enough to clear the line, and allowed 1 earned run on 3 hits with 3 strikeouts. - Worth watching: He was pulled after 56 pitches. When a starter walks batters this steadily, the over 0.5 is about volume more than control on any one night.

Brice Turang 1+ hits (-181 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Turang hit .291 with a .901 OPS against righties and batted 4th against righty Walker Buehler. - What happened: He went 1-for-5, 0.5 over the line. - Worth watching: Five at-bats from the 4th spot gave him plenty of chances. Lineup slot matters a lot for 1+ hit props.

How the game played out

San Diego used six relievers after Buehler's 3.0 innings, and Joe Musgrove closed with 2.0 scoreless innings. Bauers reached four times on a single and 3 walks. Mitchell went 2-for-4 with a run and an RBI.

Trends to watch

• Milwaukee's bullpen: 5.0 innings, 0 hits, 3 walks and 6 strikeouts tonight. Opposing team-total unders stay worth a look when this group is rested.
• Short starts on both sides: Buehler went 3.0 innings and Gasser 4.0. Both still issued at least one walk, which is all a 0.5 walk over needs.
• Run totals in this series: 5, 7, 7 and 4, every one of them under 8.5.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these markets? Read up on the alt line and the total, or see more at the MLB hub.