DARIMARKET
MLB · Game recap · Tue, Oct 27

Brewers vs. Rays Recap: Pratt's 12th-Inning Homer Cashes Team Total

Final · Milwaukee Brewers at Tampa Bay Rays
Rays 4, Brewers 3
Board plays on this game
2 of 11 hit. We post the misses too.

Tampa Bay beat Milwaukee 4-3 in 12 innings in Game 4 of the World Series, and Milwaukee now leads the series 3-1. The game sat tied 2-2 from the fifth inning until the 12th, when Cooper Pratt homered to left center to put the Brewers ahead. The Rays answered in the bottom half: Jonny DeLuca singled in the tying run, and Ben Williamson singled to right to score Nick Fortes and end it. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Junior Caminero 1+ hits (-193 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Caminero had at least one hit in 9 of his last 10 games and 16 of his last 20. At -193 the price implied 66 percent against about 80 percent from recent games.
  • What happened: He singled to left in the fourth inning off Dustin May, then came around to score when DeLuca's grounder drew a throwing error. That run put Tampa Bay up 2-1. He finished 1-for-5.
  • Worth watching: A 1+ hits line is a simple read on a hitter getting regular plate appearances. Extra innings gave him a fifth trip to the plate, but the hit came early. The price is the thing to watch.
These plays were on the board before kickoff.Join the board free →

ALT: Brewers over 2.5 team total runs (-235 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Milwaukee had scored 3+ in 9 of its last 10 and in all three earlier World Series games (3, 5 and 10). Griffin Jax was opening for Tampa Bay after allowing 4 earned runs in 6 postseason innings. The main team total was 3.5, so the alt bought a run.
  • What happened: The Brewers scored on a Pratt double in the fourth and a David Hamilton home run in the fifth, then went silent until Pratt's 396-foot homer in the 12th made it 3. Jax went 4 innings, allowed 2 earned runs and struck out 6.
  • Worth watching: This one needed extra innings to get there. The Rays bullpen covered 8 innings after Jax and allowed only Pratt's homer, so the alt number mattered when the main total was 3.5.

How the game played out

Pratt was the best bat on the field, going 4-for-5 with a double, a home run and 2 RBI. Chandler Simpson had 3 hits for Tampa Bay, including the second-inning double that brought in the first run. Milwaukee's bullpen kept it level for a long stretch, with Aaron Ashby throwing 2.1 scoreless innings and striking out 3. The Rays finally broke through in the 12th, when Shane Drohan allowed 4 hits without recording an out.

Trends to watch

  • Pratt went 4-for-5 with two extra-base hits. His hits and total bases lines are worth a look in the games ahead.
  • Both bullpens carried most of this game. When an opener starts, first-five and full-game totals can play very differently.
  • Caminero reached base twice, including on the error that started the 12th-inning rally. His hit line stays on our radar.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see player prop and alt line, or get more at /mlb.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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