Brewers vs. Rays Recap: An 8-Run Fifth and Three Brewers Bats Cash
Milwaukee beat Tampa Bay 10-1 on the road. The game was scoreless through two innings before the Brewers scored 2 in the third, then broke it open with 8 runs in the fifth. Robert Gasser held the Rays to 1 hit over 6 scoreless innings, and Tampa Bay did not score until the ninth. Jackson Chourio went 4-for-5 at the top of the order. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, all on Brewers bats.
What cashed
ALT: Christian Yelich 1+ hits (-140 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: Yelich had at least one hit in 9 of his last 10 games and 15 of his last 20. The price implied about 58 percent against roughly 78 percent from recent games.
- What happened: He went 2-for-3 with a walk, a run and an RBI.
- Worth watching: His contact has been steady. A 1+ hits line at a short price works best as a parlay leg.
ALT: William Contreras 1+ hits (-175 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: Contreras had at least one hit in 8 of his last 10 and 17 of his last 20.
- What happened: He went 3-for-5.
- Worth watching: Three hits on five trips gave him plenty of room. His bat has been one of the most reliable in the Milwaukee lineup.
William Contreras 2+ hits + runs + RBIs (-102 at DraftKings): CASHED
- Our read: He had cleared 2+ hits + runs + RBIs in 7 of his last 10 and 13 of his last 20, at close to even money.
- What happened: 3 hits, 1 run and 1 RBI for 5, 3.5 over the line.
- Worth watching: In a lineup that put up 10 runs, a combo line like this gets help from everyone around him. It is worth checking when Milwaukee faces a starter it can get to early.
How the game played out
Freddy Peralta lasted 4.2 innings for Tampa Bay and allowed 5 earned runs. Cam Booser then gave up 4 hits and 4 runs without recording an out, and the fifth inning turned into an 8-run frame. Brice Turang added 3 hits and 2 RBI, and Cooper Pratt drove in 2. On the other side, Gasser needed just 75 pitches for his 6 innings, and Antonio Senzatela followed with 2 hitless innings. Yandy Diaz had 2 of Tampa Bay's 3 hits.
Trends to watch
- Chourio's 4-for-5 came from the leadoff spot. His hits and total bases lines are worth a look while he is seeing that many plate appearances.
- Gasser allowed 1 hit in 6 innings. His strikeout total was only 3, so his value showed up in outs and runs allowed, not strikeouts.
- Tampa Bay's lineup had 3 hits all night. Rays team total unders are worth watching against pitchers who limit contact.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see player prop and implied probability, or get more at /mlb.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.