Rays vs. Brewers Recap: Milwaukee Takes World Series Game 1, 3-2

The Brewers beat the Rays 3-2 in Game 1 of the World Series and lead the series 1-0. Milwaukee scored twice in the 1st inning, when Christian Yelich tripled home Jackson Chourio and William Contreras singled home Yelich. Tampa Bay got one back in the 4th, Chourio's single in the 7th made it 3-1, and the Rays scored once in the 9th before the Brewers closed it out. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Brewers moneyline (-192 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Game 1 at home for a 103-win team that was 55-26 at home and came in unbeaten in its last 5, including an NLCS sweep. Jacob Misiorowski (1.80 ERA, 12.98 K/9) started against Nick Martinez (3.10 ERA, 5.45 K/9). - What happened: Milwaukee won 3-2. Misiorowski gave up 1 run on 4 hits in 5 innings, and Abner Uribe, Aaron Ashby and Trevor Megill covered the last four. Ashby struck out 3 in 1.2 scoreless innings. - Worth watching: The bullpen allowed 1 run in 4 innings behind Misiorowski. A one-run win is a thin margin, so the price matters on this moneyline the rest of the series.

ALT: Rays under 3.5 team total runs (-205 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Opponents scored 3 or fewer in 26 of Misiorowski's 32 starts (8 of his last 10), and Milwaukee had allowed 2.62 runs a game this postseason. The main Rays team total was 2.5. - What happened: Tampa Bay scored 2 runs on 7 hits, 1.5 under the line. Both runs came on Liam Hicks groundouts, in the 4th and the 9th. - Worth watching: The Rays struck out 9 times. The extra run of cushion over the main 2.5 total mattered once they scored in the 9th.

Nick Martinez under 1.5 walks allowed (-211 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Martinez walked 1 or fewer in 27 of 33 starts this year (12 of his last 15), averaging 0.88 walks per start, and Tampa Bay pulls him around 80 pitches. - What happened: He walked nobody in 5 innings on 73 pitches, 52 for strikes. He allowed 5 hits and 2 runs, both in the 1st, and struck out 5. - Worth watching: A short leash plus a strike thrower is the right setup for a walks under. At 73 pitches he never got deep enough for the count to catch up with him.

William Contreras 1+ hits (-220 FanDuel / -221 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Confirmed batting cleanup against Martinez, who allows a .267 average to righties. Contreras had a hit in 8 of his last 10 and 6 of 8 playoff games, hitting .270 against right-handers. - What happened: He had 2 hits in 3 at-bats plus a walk. His first-inning single drove in Yelich for the second run. - Worth watching: A cleanup spot behind Chourio and Yelich gives him plenty of chances with runners on. The 1+ hits number is a steady way to play him this series.

Jake Bauers 1+ hits (-150 FanDuel / -150 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Confirmed batting 2nd against right-hander Nick Martinez. Bauers had a hit in his last 5 and 7 of his last 10, hitting .266 with an .863 OPS against righties. - What happened: He had 1 hit in 4 at-bats with a strikeout, enough to clear the 0.5 line. - Worth watching: Batting 2nd got him 4 at-bats. This line comes down to the matchup, so check who starts for Tampa Bay before playing it again.

How the game played out

Jonathan Aranda had 3 hits and a walk for Tampa Bay and scored the 4th-inning run, and Chandler Simpson added 2 hits. Chourio had 2 hits, scored once and drove in the 7th-inning run. Steven Matz walked 3 in 1.2 innings of relief. In the 9th, the Rays challenged a call and had it overturned, and Jorge Mateo scored on the second Hicks groundout before Milwaukee finished it.

Trends to watch

• The top of the Brewers order, Chourio, Bauers, Yelich and Contreras, combined for 6 hits in 15 at-bats. Hits props for that group start with the lineup card.
• Misiorowski needed 78 pitches for 5 innings, and the bullpen covered the other 4 with 1 run allowed. If Brewers starters keep exiting around the 5th, the pen matters as much as the starter for totals.
• Tampa Bay's 2 runs came on two groundouts, and the Rays struck out 9 times. Against this staff, their team total is worth a look on the under side.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about moneylines and implied probability, or see today's MLB board.