DARIMARKET
MLB · Game recap · Tue, Sep 29

Cubs vs. Padres Recap: King Blanks Chicago, Tatis Homers

Final · Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres
Padres 8, Cubs 0
Board plays on this game
9 of 16 hit. We post the misses too.

The Padres beat the Cubs 8-0 in Game 1 of their Wild Card series on Tuesday night in San Diego. Fernando Tatis Jr. and Manny Machado both homered in the 1st, Xander Bogaerts added a solo shot in the 4th, and a three-run 5th put it away. Michael King did the rest: 7 scoreless innings, 1 hit allowed and 8 strikeouts. Nine DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Michael King 4+ strikeouts (-211 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: King had 4+ strikeouts in 28 of 32 starts and a 2.74 ERA at Petco. - What happened: He struck out 8 in 7.0 innings, clearing the number by 4.5. - Worth watching: A starter who gets to 4 in most starts is a steady prop when the price stays near -211.

Michael King over 14.5 outs (-136 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: He got 15+ outs in 28 of 32 starts, with a quicker playoff hook as the risk. - What happened: 21 outs on 97 pitches. The hook never came into play. - Worth watching: The outs line lives or dies on pitch count. When he is efficient early, the over has room.

ALT: Under 9.5 total runs (alt, worth it at -230 or better): CASHED - Our read: King at home against Boyd on the road, at Petco with the wind in from right, and a 7.5 main total with the under juiced. - What happened: 8 runs, all from San Diego. It cleared by 1.5. - Worth watching: Alt unders buy a cushion, which mattered here once one side got going.

ALT: Cubs under 4.5 team total runs (alt, worth it at -170 or better): CASHED - Our read: DraftKings set Chicago at 3.5 against King, who holds hitters to a .212 average at home. - What happened: The Cubs were shut out on 3 hits and never had a runner cross. - Worth watching: Team total unders pair naturally with a strong starter prop on the same side.

Matthew Boyd 3+ strikeouts (-238 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Boyd had 3+ strikeouts in each of his last 6 starts, and the Padres strike out 21.7% of the time vs lefties. - What happened: 4 strikeouts in 4.0 innings, even on a rough night (5 hits, 4 earned runs, 3 homers). - Worth watching: A low strikeout line can survive a short outing. That is the case for it.

These plays were on the board before kickoff.Join the board free →

Ty France 1+ hits (-211 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Batting cleanup, hitting .295 and .344 over his last 15, against a lefty who allows a .711 OPS to righties. - What happened: 2-for-4, and he scored in the 5th on a passed ball. - Worth watching: Middle-of-the-order bats get the extra plate appearance that helps a 1+ hits prop.

Fernando Tatis Jr. over 1.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-155 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: .309 with a .583 slugging vs lefties and 5 HR, 12 R and 11 RBI over his last 15 games. - What happened: 2 hits, 3 runs, 1 RBI. That is 6 against a 1.5 line. - Worth watching: A leadoff bat with power stacks H+R+RBI fast when the lineup behind him hits.

Fernando Tatis Jr. 2+ total bases (-104 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Leading off against LHP Matthew Boyd, who allowed 3+ ER in 3 of his last 5 starts. - What happened: The homer in his first trip to the plate covered it, and he added an infield single in the 7th. - Worth watching: Near even money, this is the plus-value way to bet the same angle as the H+R+RBI line.

Fernando Tatis Jr. to hit a home run (+380 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: A long shot: 4 homers in his last 15 days, a .583 slugging against lefties, and Boyd allowed 14 of his 15 homers to righties. - What happened: He homered to center, 405 feet, in the 1st. - Worth watching: Home run props miss far more than they hit. This one had matchup support, which is the only kind worth a small stake.

How the game played out

San Diego scored in 5 of 8 innings. Machado doubled home Tatis in the 3rd, Jackson Merrill singled in two in the 5th, and Tatis scored on a throwing error in the 7th. Yuki Matsui and Joe Musgrove closed it with a scoreless inning each.

Trends to watch

  • King threw 97 pitches through 7. If he stays that efficient, his outs line is worth a look next time out.
  • Tatis reached base three times from the leadoff spot. His H+R+RBI line stays interesting in that setup.
  • Chicago struck out 11 times as a team against San Diego pitching. That keeps opposing strikeout props in play for Game 2.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these bets? Start with player props and alt lines, or see today's MLB board.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

More MLB recaps

Today's MLB picks →

DARIMARKET

Pull up to the board.

The next slate is already on the board, ranked by confidence, with live calls during the games. It's free to join.

Join DARIMARKET free