Dodgers vs. Braves Recap: Mahle Props, Unders and a Muncy HR Cash

The Dodgers beat the Braves 4-1 in Game 4 to close out the series 3-1. Atlanta led 1-0 after the 1st when Michael Harris II scored on a Tyler Glasnow wild pitch, and Los Angeles tied it in the 2nd when Shohei Ohtani scored on a fielding error by shortstop Mauricio Dubon. It stayed 1-1 until the 7th, when Andy Pages singled to center to score Tommy Edman and Teoscar Hernandez. Max Muncy added a solo homer to right in the 9th. Seven DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, led by the run unders and both Tyler Mahle props.

What cashed

ALT: Under 8.5 total runs (alt, targeted -175 or better): CASHED - Our read: The Braves faced elimination down 2-1, the series had produced 8, 5 and 4 runs, and it was Glasnow (0.95 WHIP) against Mahle (1.99 ERA with Atlanta). - What happened: The game finished with 5 total runs, 3.5 under the line. Three of them came in the 7th inning or later. - Worth watching: Four games, and no total above 8. Alt unders with a cushion fit pitching matchups like this one.

Braves under 3.5 team total runs (-140 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Atlanta had scored 3, 3 and 1 runs in the series, Glasnow carried 11.9 K/9, and Albies, Riley and Yastrzemski were all under .230 against righties. - What happened: The Braves scored 1 run on 3 hits, 2.5 under the line, and that run came on a wild pitch, not a hit. - Worth watching: Glasnow walked 5 and Atlanta still scored once. When a lineup is this cold, the team-total under holds up even on a messy night for the starter.

F5: Under 4.5 total runs (-135 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Opponents hit .175 off Glasnow this season, and Mahle had allowed 1 earned run or fewer in 6 of his last 7 starts. - What happened: It was 1-1 through five innings, 2 runs in all, 2.5 under the line. - Worth watching: Both starters kept the first five clean. First-five unders take the bullpens out of the bet, which is the point in a matchup like this.

Tyler Mahle 4+ strikeouts (-170 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Mahle had 4 or more strikeouts in 20 of 27 starts and 6 in his Wild Card start. - What happened: He struck out exactly 4 over 6.1 innings on 85 pitches. - Worth watching: He got there on volume, not a big strikeout night. Length is what carries this number for him.

Tyler Mahle over 13.5 outs (-115 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Mahle got 15 or more outs in all 9 of his Atlanta starts, and Iglesias, Suter, Lee and Dodd all pitched in Game 3, so the Braves needed length. - What happened: He recorded 19 outs, 5.5 over the line, allowing 3 hits, 2 runs (1 earned) and 1 walk. - Worth watching: He went into the 7th on 85 pitches. When the bullpen is taxed, his outs line is worth a look.

Tyler Glasnow 5+ strikeouts (-426 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Glasnow reached 6 or more strikeouts in all 12 of his full starts this season (98 K in 74 IP). - What happened: He struck out 5 in 4.2 innings, clearing the line by 0.5. He also walked 5, which ran him to 78 pitches and ended his night early. - Worth watching: The low number left room for a short outing. His walk count is the thing to check before backing his strikeouts at a steep price.

Max Muncy to hit a home run (+394 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Muncy had 2 postseason homers in 8 plate appearances, 22 of his 29 season homers came against righties, and Mahle had allowed 20 homers in 149 innings. - What happened: Muncy homered to right off Raisel Iglesias in the 9th, 389 feet, for the final run. He went 1-for-4 with 1 RBI. - Worth watching: At 18 confidence this was a long shot that landed. Home run props are small, priced swings, and we treat them that way.

How the game played out

Mahle and Glasnow kept it 1-1 into the 7th. Pages went 2-for-3 with 2 RBIs, and the Los Angeles bullpen of Alex Vesia, Edgardo Henriquez, Tanner Scott and Edwin Diaz threw 4.1 scoreless innings, allowing 2 hits. Harris was the only Brave with more than one hit.

Trends to watch

• Run totals in this series landed on 8, 5, 4 and 5. Both staffs kept scoring low all four games.
• Mahle's workload: 6.1 innings and 85 pitches. His outs and strikeout props both rest on that length.
• Glasnow's control: 5 walks in 4.2 innings. His strikeout props depend on how many pitches the walks cost him.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these markets? Read up on the alt line and the total, or see more at the MLB hub.