White Sox vs. Guardians Recap: F5 and Full-Game Unders Cash in Game 2
The White Sox beat the Guardians 4-3 in Game 2 of the ALDS and lead the series 2-0. Cleveland went up 2-0 in the 1st when Steven Kwan and Jose Ramirez scored on a throwing error by Sean Newcomb, who had just replaced opener Anthony Kay. Chicago answered with a Munetaka Murakami RBI single in the 4th, then took the lead in the 6th on Braden Montgomery's two-run double and a Chase Meidroth RBI single. Jo Adell's RBI triple in the 8th was Cleveland's last run. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, two of them on the run total.
What cashed
F5: Under 4.5 total runs (-210 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Gavin Williams came in with a .599 OPS allowed at home, Chicago was opening with Kay before Sean Burke, and Cleveland was shut out in Game 1. - What happened: It was 2-1 Cleveland through five, 3 total runs and 1.5 under. Williams struck out 11 in 5.0 innings, and Burke allowed 1 hit over 5.1 innings in relief. - Worth watching: Both of Cleveland's early runs came on an error, and the under still held. When both early arms miss bats like this, first-five unders are worth a look first.
ALT: Under 7.5 total runs (alt, targeted -175 or better): CASHED - Our read: Game 1 ended 3-0, Williams had a 2.84 ERA with 150 strikeouts in 107.2 home innings, Cleveland scored 4.19 runs a game this season, and the main total was 6.5. - What happened: 7 total runs, 0.5 under. Adell's triple in the 8th was the last run either team scored. - Worth watching: The alt bought one run over the main number, and it needed that run. Low playoff totals with strikeout arms on both sides keep this angle in play.
Jo Adell 1+ hits (-178 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Adell hits .320 with a .599 slugging percentage against lefties, batted 4th against the lefty Kay, and Kay threw 22 pitches in Game 1, so a short start was likely. - What happened: Adell went 1-for-3 with a walk. Kay lasted 0.1 innings on 17 pitches, and Adell's hit was the RBI triple to left in the 8th that scored Chase DeLauter. - Worth watching: Kay's quick exit played out as expected. When an opener is likely to leave early, a plain 1+ hits line depends less on one matchup.
How the game played out
Williams struck out 11 on 98 pitches and walked 3. Chicago's three-run 6th came against Williams and Erik Sabrowski, who was charged with two of those runs. Chicago's pen did the rest: Burke struck out 6, and Grant Taylor got the final four outs. Cleveland had 4 hits.
Trends to watch
- Williams came in with 150 strikeouts in 107.2 home innings and added 11 more here. His strikeout lines stay worth checking.
- Burke went 5.1 innings in relief after Kay's quick exit. Chicago's opener plan shifts the bulk innings to him.
- Both games of this series have stayed at 7 runs or fewer. Full-game unders keep fitting these two lineups.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these markets? Read up on the total and the alt line, or see more at the MLB hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.