Yankees vs. Rays Recap: Rasmussen and an Aranda Homer Win 1-0

The Rays beat the Yankees 1-0 in a game that came down to one swing. Jonathan Aranda hit a 417-foot solo homer to right center in the 3rd, and that was the only run either team scored. Drew Rasmussen threw 8 scoreless innings and allowed 1 hit, and Bryan Baker struck out 2 in a clean 9th. New York had one hit all night. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Yankees under 4.5 team total runs (alt, targeted -250 or better): CASHED - Our read: Rasmussen came in with a 2.67 ERA and a .199 opponent average, and he had held New York to a 1.81 ERA in 11 games. Aaron Judge's calf also put his availability in doubt. - What happened: New York scored 0, 4.5 under the line. Judge did not appear in the box score. The Yankees' only hit was an Austin Wells double in the 8th, and Wells was thrown out trying to stretch it to third. - Worth watching: A team total alt this far above the main 3.5 gives a lot of room, but the price gets steep. It made sense here because of this specific pitcher-vs-lineup history.

F5: Under 4.5 total runs (-175 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Gerrit Cole had a 2.09 ERA in his last 6 starts against Tampa Bay, and Rasmussen a 1.81 ERA against New York. The main total was 7. - What happened: It was 1-0 after five innings, 3.5 under the line. Cole went 5 innings on 82 pitches and allowed only the Aranda homer, with 5 strikeouts. Rasmussen did not allow a hit through five. - Worth watching: With two starters this sharp against these opponents, the first-five Under is the cleanest way to back them. We would still pass past -190.

ALT: Under 8.5 total runs (alt, targeted -200 or better): CASHED - Our read: Both starters had sub-2.10 ERAs in this matchup this year, Tampa Bay was 55-26 at home, and the main total was 7. - What happened: The game finished with 1 total run, 7.5 under the line. The teams combined for 6 hits. - Worth watching: An alt Under 1.5 runs above the main total is a cushion play. It only fits at a price you set beforehand.

Drew Rasmussen under 1.5 earned runs allowed (-118 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: He had allowed 1 or fewer earned runs in 5 of his last 6 starts, including 6.2 innings, 1 earned run and 11 strikeouts against New York on Sept. 22. - What happened: Rasmussen allowed 0 earned runs over 8 innings, 1.5 under the line, with 1 hit and 10 strikeouts on 101 pitches. In the 4th and 5th he struck out four of the six hitters he faced, including Jazz Chisholm Jr. and Trent Grisham to open the 5th. - Worth watching: At 60 confidence this was a long shot that landed. His recent run of starts against this lineup is the reason to keep the angle on the list.

How the game played out

Tampa Bay put runners on in the 1st, 2nd and 4th but did not score until Aranda's homer. Ryan Weathers, Paul Blackburn and Brent Headrick then held the Rays scoreless over the final 3 innings, so the margin stayed at one. Rasmussen did not give New York an opening, and Baker finished it by striking out Giancarlo Stanton and Ben Rice before Cody Bellinger grounded out.

Trends to watch

• Yankees hitters struck out 12 times. Rice, Bellinger, Spencer Jones and Grisham each struck out twice.
• Junior Caminero went hitless in 2 at-bats but reached twice on walks.
• Liam Hicks had a double and a walk for Tampa Bay, and Richie Palacios also doubled.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these markets? Read up on the total and the alt line, or see more at the MLB hub.