Yankees vs. Rays Recap: Ben Rice's Two Homers Lead 10 Cashed Plays
The Rays beat the Yankees 5-2 in Game 2 of the ALDS and lead the series 2-0. Tampa Bay scored in the 1st when Yandy Diaz came home on a throwing error by Jazz Chisholm Jr., then broke it open with four runs in the 5th, capped by Richie Palacios' two-run single. Ben Rice drove in both New York runs with solo homers in the 4th and 8th. Ten DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, four of them on Rice.
What cashed
Ben Rice to hit a home run (+361 at DraftKings): CASHED
Ben Rice 2+ total bases (+138 at DraftKings): CASHED
Ben Rice 1+ hits (-176 at DraftKings): CASHED
Ben Rice over 0.5 hits + runs + RBIs (-262 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Rice has 41 homers, 30 of them against righties with a .961 OPS, and he led off against righty Freddy Peralta, who allowed 23 homers this season. - What happened: Rice went 2-for-3 with a walk and homered twice, to right at 372 and 358 feet. He finished with 2 runs and 2 RBI, 6 hits plus runs plus RBIs. - Worth watching: At 21 confidence the homer was a true long shot, and the 2+ total bases at 46 was one too. Leading off against righties, his hits and H+R+RBI lines are the steadier way in.
Freddy Peralta over 13.5 outs (-150 at DraftKings): CASHED
Freddy Peralta under 5.5 strikeouts (-155 at DraftKings): CASHED
Freddy Peralta under 4.5 strikeouts (+121 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Peralta recorded 14+ outs in 9 of his 10 Rays starts, but he stayed at 5 or fewer strikeouts in 7 of them and averaged 4.9 strikeouts a start this year. - What happened: 4.2 innings on 66 pitches, 3 hits, 1 earned run, 1 walk and 3 strikeouts. He got exactly 14 outs, 0.5 over, and finished 1.5 under the 4.5. - Worth watching: The outs over needed every out he got. The strikeout unders had more room, and at plus money the 4.5 was a long shot that landed.
Cam Schlittler under 2.5 earned runs allowed (-411 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Schlittler came in with a 1.95 ERA, 1.16 on the road, and had allowed 0 or 1 earned runs in each of his last 6 outings. - What happened: He went 4.1 innings and allowed 6 hits and 2 earned runs, 0.5 under. Errors behind him meant two of the runs charged to him were unearned. - Worth watching: At -411 the price was steep for a start that ended in the 5th. That number only makes sense when the ERA and recent form are this strong.
Jonathan Aranda 1+ hits (-137 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Aranda had a hit in 105 of 148 games and 12 of his last 15, hitting .284 against righties. - What happened: 2-for-5 from the 2 spot, and he scored the first run of the 5th on Liam Hicks' groundout. - Worth watching: Batting second behind Diaz keeps his at-bats up. A 1+ hits number at a modest price fits that role.
ALT: Under 7.5 total runs (alt, targeted -180 or better): CASHED - Our read: Game 1 was a 1-0 Rays win under the dome, and Schlittler (1.95 ERA) faced Peralta, who had a 3.25 ERA in 10 Rays starts. - What happened: 7 total runs, 0.5 under. Rice's second homer in the 8th was the last run of the game. - Worth watching: The alt bought one run over the 6.5 main number, and that run is the one that mattered.
How the game played out
Both bullpens held. Ian Seymour threw 3.0 innings for Tampa Bay with 4 strikeouts and allowed only Rice's second homer, and Bryan Baker closed with a clean 9th. The Yankees used five relievers after Schlittler and did not allow an earned run. Junior Caminero had 2 hits and scored in the 5th.
Trends to watch
- Rice drove in both Yankees runs from the leadoff spot. His power lines stay worth a look against right-handed starters.
- Peralta's leash: 66 pitches and 14 outs. Expect his outs line to stay tight and his strikeout unders to stay in play.
- New York had 4 hits, and Tampa Bay has allowed 2 runs in two games this series. Yankees team totals stay worth checking low.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to these markets? Read up on the player prop and the alt line, or see more at the MLB hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.