Mavericks vs. Spurs Recap: Wembanyama's 52 Holds Off Dallas Rally
The Spurs held off the Mavericks 112-111 on Wednesday night after nearly letting a 19-point lead slip away. San Antonio led 32-26 after one quarter and 68-51 at the half, then Dallas won the third 29-22 and the fourth 31-22 to finish a single point short. Victor Wembanyama carried the Spurs with 52 points, 24 rebounds and 8 blocks, going 16-of-28 from the field and 19-of-23 at the line. Kyrie Irving led Dallas with 29 points, and Naji Marshall added 22 off the bench in 26 minutes. 12 DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game: four Stephon Castle props, two each for Dylan Harper, Kyrie Irving and Naji Marshall, plus Keldon Johnson rebounds and the Dallas team total.
What cashed
ALT: Stephon Castle 25+ points + rebounds + assists (-220 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Castle had cleared 25+ PRA in 9 of his last 10 and 18 of his last 20, and -220 implied 69% against about 85% from recent games. - What happened: He posted 17 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists for 30, clearing by 5.5 despite 6-of-20 shooting. - Worth watching: His 35 minutes and 10 boards kept this safe on an off shooting night.
Stephon Castle 12+ rebounds + assists (+100 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had reached 12+ rebounds plus assists in 6 of his last 10 and 15 of his last 20, and even money implied 50% against about 66%. - What happened: 10 rebounds and 3 assists made 13, 1.5 over the number. - Worth watching: The glass did the work here, with 7 of his 10 rebounds on the defensive end.
ALT: Stephon Castle 5+ rebounds (-169 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Castle had 5+ rebounds in 9 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20, and -169 implied 63% against about 80%. - What happened: He doubled the line with 10 rebounds, 3 of them offensive. - Worth watching: San Antonio pulled down 61 rebounds as a team, and Castle's share of that volume is worth tracking.
ALT: Stephon Castle 12+ points (-379 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: He had scored 12+ in 6 of 7 games this season, averaging 14.7. - What happened: 17 points on 6-of-20, with 2-of-9 from three and 3-of-4 at the line. - Worth watching: Shot volume got him there, but -379 is steep for a scorer who can run this cold.
ALT: Dylan Harper 25+ points + rebounds + assists (-196 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Harper had cleared 25+ PRA in all 7 games this season, averaging 29.3. - What happened: 21 points, 5 rebounds and 0 assists added up to 26, just 1.5 over. - Worth watching: Zero assists in 36 minutes made this tighter than his average suggested.
ALT: Dylan Harper 12+ points (-485 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: He had scored 12+ in all 7 games this season, averaging 18.3. - What happened: He scored 21 on 9-of-15 shooting, 9.5 clear of the line. - Worth watching: His efficiency keeps the floor high, though at -485 this fits better as a parlay leg than a straight bet.
ALT: Keldon Johnson 4+ rebounds (-164 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Johnson had 4+ rebounds in 10 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20, and -164 implied 62% against about 84%. - What happened: He grabbed 5 rebounds in 19 minutes, 3 of them offensive. - Worth watching: Bench minutes cap his ceiling, so a low rebound number fits his role.
ALT: Kyrie Irving 15+ points (-480 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Irving had scored 15+ in all 5 games this season, averaging 21.4. - What happened: He scored 29 on 9-of-27, including 5-of-14 from three and 6-of-8 at the line. - Worth watching: 27 shot attempts show how much of the Dallas offense runs through him.
ALT: Kyrie Irving 20+ points + rebounds + assists (-750 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had cleared 20+ PRA in all 5 games this season, averaging 29.6. - What happened: 29 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists made 41, 21.5 over the line. - Worth watching: The cushion was huge, but -750 leaves little value as a single.
ALT: Naji Marshall 13+ points (+128 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Marshall had 13+ in 7 of his last 10 and 12 of his last 20, and +128 implied 44% against about 63%, a long shot that landed. - What happened: He scored 22 off the bench on 9-of-12 shooting, including 3-of-3 from three, in 26 minutes. - Worth watching: Plus-money bench scoring is where his value sits if the minutes hold.
ALT: Naji Marshall 19+ points + rebounds + assists (-105 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: He had cleared 19+ PRA in 8 of his last 10 and 12 of his last 20, and -105 implied 51% against about 67%. - What happened: 22 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists made 30, 11.5 over. - Worth watching: His scoring alone nearly covered it.
ALT: Mavericks over 103.5 points (-177 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Dallas had scored 104+ in 9 of its last 10 and 6 of 7 this season. - What happened: The Mavericks scored 111, 7.5 over, with 60 of those in the second half. - Worth watching: Dallas got there on 39-of-102 shooting thanks to 18 offensive rebounds and 19 made free throws.
How the game played out
The Spurs went just 5-of-36 from three and still won because they owned the paint 62-40 and made 33-of-39 free throws. They also out-rebounded Dallas 61-50, with 22 offensive boards. San Antonio scored only 22 in each of the last two quarters, and Dallas closed the gap by winning the second half 60-44. The Mavericks never led by more than 3 and held a lead for only 2 percent of the game.
Trends to watch
- Wembanyama took 23 free throws and grabbed 24 rebounds, so his rebound and points lines stay central to any Spurs board.
- Castle and Harper each played 35-plus minutes, which keeps their combo lines in play even when the shot is not falling.
- The Dallas bench gave real scoring, with Marshall at 22 and Walter Clayton Jr. at 8 points and 5 assists in 21 minutes.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. See our guides on alt lines, player props and parlays, or visit the NBA hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.