DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Wed, Nov 4

Mavericks vs. Spurs Recap: Wembanyama's 52 Holds Off Dallas Rally

Final · Dallas Mavericks at San Antonio Spurs
Spurs 112, Mavericks 111
Board plays on this game
12 of 14 hit. We post the misses too.

The Spurs held off the Mavericks 112-111 on Wednesday night after nearly letting a 19-point lead slip away. San Antonio led 32-26 after one quarter and 68-51 at the half, then Dallas won the third 29-22 and the fourth 31-22 to finish a single point short. Victor Wembanyama carried the Spurs with 52 points, 24 rebounds and 8 blocks, going 16-of-28 from the field and 19-of-23 at the line. Kyrie Irving led Dallas with 29 points, and Naji Marshall added 22 off the bench in 26 minutes. 12 DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game: four Stephon Castle props, two each for Dylan Harper, Kyrie Irving and Naji Marshall, plus Keldon Johnson rebounds and the Dallas team total.

What cashed

ALT: Stephon Castle 25+ points + rebounds + assists (-220 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Castle had cleared 25+ PRA in 9 of his last 10 and 18 of his last 20, and -220 implied 69% against about 85% from recent games. - What happened: He posted 17 points, 10 rebounds and 3 assists for 30, clearing by 5.5 despite 6-of-20 shooting. - Worth watching: His 35 minutes and 10 boards kept this safe on an off shooting night.

Stephon Castle 12+ rebounds + assists (+100 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had reached 12+ rebounds plus assists in 6 of his last 10 and 15 of his last 20, and even money implied 50% against about 66%. - What happened: 10 rebounds and 3 assists made 13, 1.5 over the number. - Worth watching: The glass did the work here, with 7 of his 10 rebounds on the defensive end.

ALT: Stephon Castle 5+ rebounds (-169 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Castle had 5+ rebounds in 9 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20, and -169 implied 63% against about 80%. - What happened: He doubled the line with 10 rebounds, 3 of them offensive. - Worth watching: San Antonio pulled down 61 rebounds as a team, and Castle's share of that volume is worth tracking.

ALT: Stephon Castle 12+ points (-379 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: He had scored 12+ in 6 of 7 games this season, averaging 14.7. - What happened: 17 points on 6-of-20, with 2-of-9 from three and 3-of-4 at the line. - Worth watching: Shot volume got him there, but -379 is steep for a scorer who can run this cold.

ALT: Dylan Harper 25+ points + rebounds + assists (-196 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Harper had cleared 25+ PRA in all 7 games this season, averaging 29.3. - What happened: 21 points, 5 rebounds and 0 assists added up to 26, just 1.5 over. - Worth watching: Zero assists in 36 minutes made this tighter than his average suggested.

ALT: Dylan Harper 12+ points (-485 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: He had scored 12+ in all 7 games this season, averaging 18.3. - What happened: He scored 21 on 9-of-15 shooting, 9.5 clear of the line. - Worth watching: His efficiency keeps the floor high, though at -485 this fits better as a parlay leg than a straight bet.

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ALT: Keldon Johnson 4+ rebounds (-164 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Johnson had 4+ rebounds in 10 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20, and -164 implied 62% against about 84%. - What happened: He grabbed 5 rebounds in 19 minutes, 3 of them offensive. - Worth watching: Bench minutes cap his ceiling, so a low rebound number fits his role.

ALT: Kyrie Irving 15+ points (-480 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Irving had scored 15+ in all 5 games this season, averaging 21.4. - What happened: He scored 29 on 9-of-27, including 5-of-14 from three and 6-of-8 at the line. - Worth watching: 27 shot attempts show how much of the Dallas offense runs through him.

ALT: Kyrie Irving 20+ points + rebounds + assists (-750 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had cleared 20+ PRA in all 5 games this season, averaging 29.6. - What happened: 29 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists made 41, 21.5 over the line. - Worth watching: The cushion was huge, but -750 leaves little value as a single.

ALT: Naji Marshall 13+ points (+128 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Marshall had 13+ in 7 of his last 10 and 12 of his last 20, and +128 implied 44% against about 63%, a long shot that landed. - What happened: He scored 22 off the bench on 9-of-12 shooting, including 3-of-3 from three, in 26 minutes. - Worth watching: Plus-money bench scoring is where his value sits if the minutes hold.

ALT: Naji Marshall 19+ points + rebounds + assists (-105 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: He had cleared 19+ PRA in 8 of his last 10 and 12 of his last 20, and -105 implied 51% against about 67%. - What happened: 22 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists made 30, 11.5 over. - Worth watching: His scoring alone nearly covered it.

ALT: Mavericks over 103.5 points (-177 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Dallas had scored 104+ in 9 of its last 10 and 6 of 7 this season. - What happened: The Mavericks scored 111, 7.5 over, with 60 of those in the second half. - Worth watching: Dallas got there on 39-of-102 shooting thanks to 18 offensive rebounds and 19 made free throws.

How the game played out

The Spurs went just 5-of-36 from three and still won because they owned the paint 62-40 and made 33-of-39 free throws. They also out-rebounded Dallas 61-50, with 22 offensive boards. San Antonio scored only 22 in each of the last two quarters, and Dallas closed the gap by winning the second half 60-44. The Mavericks never led by more than 3 and held a lead for only 2 percent of the game.

Trends to watch

  • Wembanyama took 23 free throws and grabbed 24 rebounds, so his rebound and points lines stay central to any Spurs board.
  • Castle and Harper each played 35-plus minutes, which keeps their combo lines in play even when the shot is not falling.
  • The Dallas bench gave real scoring, with Marshall at 22 and Walter Clayton Jr. at 8 points and 5 assists in 21 minutes.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. See our guides on alt lines, player props and parlays, or visit the NBA hub.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

Player hit rates from this game

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