Pistons vs. Heat Recap: Detroit Wins 128-111, Three Props Cash
The Pistons beat the Heat 128-111 on the road. Detroit scored 41 in the first quarter, led 65-53 at halftime and 103-80 after three, and was ahead for 98 percent of the game. The Pistons shot 53 percent, made 18 of 38 threes and finished with 34 assists. Giannis Antetokounmpo scored 36 with 12 rebounds for Miami, but the Heat shot 38 percent as a team. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Davion Mitchell 15+ points + rebounds + assists (-288 DraftKings / -350 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Mitchell had 15+ PRA in 9 of his last 10, averaging 22.3, and 25 over his last 3, with 9 of 10 at home. - What happened: He scored 18 on 6 of 14 shooting, 3 of 9 from three, with 2 rebounds and 5 assists for 25 PRA in 33 minutes. That is 10.5 over the 14.5 line. He also blocked 2 shots. - Worth watching: His 25 matched his last-3 average exactly. At 33 minutes with 9 three-point attempts, he has a role that keeps the 15+ number well within reach.
Daniss Jenkins 3+ assists (-157 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Jenkins had 3+ assists in all of his last 10, averaging 3.5, and 3.7 over his last 3, with 10 of 10 on the road. - What happened: He had 5 assists in 22 minutes off the bench, 2.5 over the 2.5 line, plus 15 points on 5 of 8 shooting and 5 rebounds. He finished +14. - Worth watching: Five assists in 22 minutes is a strong rate for a reserve. If he keeps getting 20-plus minutes, the 3+ number has room.
Bobby Portis 10+ points (-148 FanDuel / -131 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Portis had cleared 10 points in 9 of his last 10 and 4 of his last 5, though he scored 7 in the opener. The Heat listed no injuries for this game. - What happened: He scored 11 on 4 of 10 shooting, 3 of 6 from three, with 8 rebounds in 21 minutes, 1.5 over the 9.5 line. He was +6 in a 17-point loss. - Worth watching: The threes got him there. Six attempts in 21 minutes is enough volume for 10+ when his minutes stay around 20.
How the game played out
John Collins led Detroit with 23 points and made 5 of 6 threes. Paul Reed added 19 points and 11 rebounds off the bench, Duncan Robinson hit 5 threes for 17, and Cade Cunningham had 16 points and 8 assists. For Miami, Antetokounmpo went 15 of 26, but Klay Thompson was 2 of 11 from three and Andrew Wiggins went 3 of 12. The Heat took 51 threes and made 15.
Trends to watch
- Mitchell played 33 minutes and took 14 shots. His PRA line is worth a look while that workload holds.
- Detroit had 34 assists and five players with 4 or more. That ball movement spreads the points, which favors lower scoring lines over big ones for Pistons players.
- Miami took 51 threes. High three-point volume swings totals, so alt lines with room fit Heat games better than the main number.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about player props and moneylines, or see today's NBA board.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.