DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Fri, Oct 30

Pistons vs. Nets Recap: Detroit Covers as Robinson Doubles Up

Final · Detroit Pistons at Brooklyn Nets
Pistons 110, Nets 94
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Detroit beat Brooklyn 110-94. The Nets won the first quarter 28-21, but the Pistons took a 56-49 halftime lead and blew the game open with a 36-17 third quarter, building a lead as large as 30. Brooklyn turned it over 23 times, Detroit had 14 steals and 27 fast-break points, and Cade Cunningham led the Pistons with 20. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Pistons -7.5 (-121 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: The main line was Pistons -8.5. Detroit had covered -7.5 in 8 of its last 10 and 4 of 5 this season, against a rebuilding Nets team.
  • What happened: Detroit won by 16, 8.5 points clear of the number.
  • Worth watching: The third quarter decided it. When Detroit forces turnovers like this, its defense turns into easy points the other way.

Duncan Robinson 12+ points (-180 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Robinson had 12+ points in 9 of his last 10 and all 5 games this season.
  • What happened: He scored 17 in 26 minutes, 5.5 over, and finished +14.

Duncan Robinson 2+ assists (-185 at DraftKings): CASHED

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  • Our read: He had 2+ assists in 8 of his last 10 and 5 of 5 this season.
  • What happened: He finished with exactly 2 assists.
  • Worth watching: Both Robinson lines came from the same 26 minutes. His points line looks sturdier than his assists line, which landed right on the number.

Ausar Thompson 7+ rebounds (-102 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Thompson had cleared 7+ rebounds in 7 of his last 10 and 14 of his last 20. At -102 the implied chance was 50 percent against about 67 percent.
  • What happened: He grabbed 8 rebounds in 26 minutes, 1.5 over, and added 11 points and 6 assists.
  • Worth watching: Near even money on a line he clears this often is the kind of price we look for.

ALT: Julius Randle 6+ rebounds (-205 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Randle had cleared 6+ rebounds in 9 of his last 10 and 17 of his last 20.
  • What happened: He grabbed 8 rebounds in 25 minutes, 2.5 over, and scored 15.

How the game played out

Brooklyn outrebounded Detroit 50-41 and blocked 10 shots, but the turnovers were too much. Detroit scored 27 points off Brooklyn's giveaways. Ronald Holland II added 18 points off 10 shots for the Pistons.

Trends to watch

  • Randle got to 8 rebounds in only 25 minutes in a blowout. In a closer game with more minutes, his rebound line has more room.
  • Thompson had 8 rebounds and 6 assists. His all-around game makes his combo lines worth a look.
  • Detroit turned 14 steals into 27 fast-break points. Its pace against teams that give the ball away is worth factoring into game totals and team totals.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see point spread and alt line, or get more at /nba.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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