DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Fri, Oct 30

Lakers vs. Warriors Recap: Podziemski Cashes Twice in Comeback

Final · Los Angeles Lakers at Golden State Warriors
Warriors 112, Lakers 95
Board plays on this game
4 of 8 hit. We post the misses too.

Golden State beat the Lakers 112-95 after falling behind by 25. Los Angeles won the first quarter 38-15, but the Warriors answered with a 38-15 second quarter to tie it 53-53 at halftime, then outscored the Lakers 59-42 after the break. Golden State made 22 of 46 threes, and Stephen Curry scored 31 with 8 of them. Luka Doncic led the Lakers with 37. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Brandin Podziemski 16+ points (-104 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Podziemski had cleared 16+ points in 8 of his last 10 and 14 of his last 20. At -104 the implied chance was 51 percent against about 72 percent.
  • What happened: He scored 21 in 33 minutes, 5.5 over, and made 4 of 9 threes.

Brandin Podziemski 19+ points + assists (-122 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: He had cleared 19+ points + assists in 7 of his last 10 and 14 of his last 20.
  • What happened: 21 points and 6 assists made 27, 8.5 over.
  • Worth watching: Both Podziemski lines came from the same night. He started, played 33 minutes and took 15 shots, and that role is what makes his points lines worth a look near even money.
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De'Anthony Melton 3+ rebounds (-178 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Melton had cleared 3+ rebounds in 8 of his last 10 and 14 of his last 20. The best price of -159 implied 61 percent against about 72 percent.
  • What happened: He grabbed 5 rebounds off the bench in 21 minutes, 2.5 over, and scored 16 with 4 threes.

Gui Santos 4+ rebounds (-149 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Santos had 4+ boards in 8 of his last 10 and 3 of 4 this season as a starting forward, and the books listed him active.
  • What happened: He started and grabbed 5 rebounds in 16 minutes, 1.5 over.
  • Worth watching: He got there in only 16 minutes. His rebound line depends on the minutes, so check his role before the next one.

How the game played out

The Lakers shot 40 percent, went 11-of-39 from three and turned it over 20 times, and Golden State scored 27 points off those turnovers. Los Angeles scored 15 points in the fourth quarter. Walker Kessler had 10 points and 13 rebounds.

Trends to watch

  • Curry took 14 threes and made 8. His made-threes line is worth tracking with that volume.
  • Doncic took 27 shots, including 16 threes. His points line has a high floor with that usage.
  • Melton made 4 of 6 threes off the bench. His points line is worth watching if his minutes grow.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see player prop and implied probability, or get more at /nba.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

Player hit rates from this game

Research tools

Free. Hit rates show past results, not a prediction. 21+.

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