Rockets vs. Spurs Recap: Houston Wins 114-110, Five Plays Cash
The Rockets beat the Spurs 114-110 on the road. Houston led 61-59 at halftime and 85-81 after three quarters, and the teams split the fourth 29-29. There were 14 lead changes, but Houston was ahead for 89 percent of the game. The difference was at the line: the Rockets made 28 of 31 free throws and the Spurs made 18 of 25. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
ALT: Over 214.5 total points (-275 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: The main total was 226.5, so this alt sat 12 points below it. Both teams had gone over 214.5 in 9 of their last 10, and their last-10 games averaged 233.9 combined. - What happened: The game finished with 224 points, 9.5 over the line. The teams had 166 through three quarters, so the over needed 49 in the fourth, and they scored 58. - Worth watching: The game landed just under the 226.5 main total. Those 12 points of cushion are the reason to take the alt at a heavier price.
Kevin Durant 30+ points + rebounds + assists (-224 DraftKings / -235 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Durant had 30+ PRA in all of his last 10 games (15 straight), averaging 37.8, and 39.7 over his last 3. - What happened: He finished with 20 points, 7 rebounds and 6 assists for 33 PRA in 37 minutes, 3.5 over the 29.5 line. He shot 5 of 10 from the field and 8 of 8 at the line. - Worth watching: The rebounds and assists carried this one. PRA gives him more ways to get there on nights his shot volume is low.
Kevin Durant 20+ points (-261 DraftKings / -290 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Durant scored 30 in the opener and had 20+ in 9 of his last 10, averaging 26.1, and 28.7 over his last 3. - What happened: He scored exactly 20, clearing the 19.5 line by 0.5. The 8 free throws were the difference. - Worth watching: He took 10 shots while Alperen Sengun took 20. When Sengun runs the offense like this, Durant's points can land closer to the line than his averages suggest.
Amen Thompson 25+ points + rebounds + assists (-220 DraftKings / -220 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Thompson came in with 25+ PRA in 30 straight games, averaging 34.7 over his last 10, and 10 of 10 on the road. - What happened: He had 20 points on 9 of 15 shooting, 10 rebounds and 4 assists for 34 PRA in 36 minutes, 9.5 over the 24.5 line. He added 2 steals and 2 blocks. - Worth watching: His 34 landed right on his 34.7 average. Ten rebounds from a wing in 36 minutes is a steady floor for this line.
Devin Vassell 15+ points + rebounds + assists (-230 FanDuel / -236 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Vassell had 15+ PRA in 8 of his last 10, averaging 19.4, and was 9 of 10 at home, with Tobias Harris (calf) out. - What happened: He had 10 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists for 16 PRA in 36 minutes, 1.5 over the 14.5 line. He shot 3 of 8, 2 of 5 from three, and added 3 steals. - Worth watching: Close margin. He played 36 minutes but took only 8 shots, so this line leans on his minutes more than his usage.
How the game played out
Sengun led Houston with 29 points, 7 rebounds and 7 assists on 10 of 20 shooting, and Fred VanVleet added 14 with 3 threes. Victor Wembanyama had 25 points and 13 rebounds for San Antonio, and De'Aaron Fox scored 19 with 9 assists. The Spurs took 37 threes and made 12.
Trends to watch
- Sengun and Durant each shot 8 free throws, so 16 of Houston's 31 attempts went to two players. That supports points props for both.
- Thompson put up 34 PRA with 10 rebounds. His PRA line is worth a look while he plays 36 minutes a night.
- Wembanyama, Fox, Stephon Castle and Dylan Harper each took 11 or more shots. With that many scorers, Vassell is a minutes play, not a usage play.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about totals and alt lines, or see today's NBA board.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.