DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Sat, Oct 24

Spurs vs. Mavericks Recap: San Antonio Pulls Away, Five Props Cash

Final · San Antonio Spurs at Dallas Mavericks
Spurs 122, Mavericks 106
Board plays on this game
5 of 6 hit. We post the misses too.

The Spurs beat the Mavericks 122-106 on the road. San Antonio scored 32 in the first quarter and 36 in the second to lead 68-60 at halftime. Dallas cut it to 92-89 after three, then the Spurs won the fourth quarter 30-17. San Antonio finished with 34 assists, 64 points in the paint, 15 offensive rebounds and 12 steals. Dallas shot 51 percent but turned it over 21 times, and the Spurs scored 26 points off those turnovers. Victor Wembanyama had 23 points, 7 rebounds and 4 blocks. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

De'Aaron Fox 5+ assists (-210 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Fox had 5+ assists in each of his last 5, each of his last 10 and both games this season. His main line was 5.5. - What happened: He handed out 9 assists in 28 minutes, 4.5 over the 4.5 line. He added 19 points on 6 of 11 shooting, 3 rebounds and 3 steals, and finished +25. - Worth watching: Nine assists in 28 minutes is a strong rate, and he got there without heavy minutes. The 5+ rung looks like the steadier price while he runs the offense like this.

Devin Vassell 15+ points + rebounds + assists (-245 at DraftKings / -260 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Vassell had 15+ PRA in 4 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10. His mains were 11.5 points and 3.5 rebounds. - What happened: He scored 11 on 5 of 10 shooting with 4 rebounds and 6 assists for 21 PRA in 32 minutes. That is 6.5 over the 14.5 line. - Worth watching: The passing carried this one. With 32 minutes and 6 assists, he has more than one way to reach 15 even on a quiet scoring night.

Max Christie under 2.5 assists (-161 at DraftKings / -174 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Christie stayed under 2.5 assists in 4 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10. - What happened: He had 1 assist in 26 minutes, 1.5 under the 2.5 line. He scored 5 on 2 of 9 shooting with 5 rebounds. - Worth watching: His assist count stayed low again in 26 minutes of work. The under is worth a look while his role and minutes stay about the same.

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Devin Vassell 4+ rebounds (-113 FanDuel / -120 DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Vassell grabbed 4+ rebounds in 4 of his last 5 and 8 of his last 10. His main was 3.5 at about even money. - What happened: He finished with exactly 4 rebounds, 0.5 over the 3.5 line, all on the defensive glass. - Worth watching: This one had no room to spare. It cashed, but a thin margin at a near-even price is a reminder to shop for the best number.

Dylan Harper 4+ rebounds (-240 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: An easy alt rung. Harper cleared 4+ rebounds in 9 of his last 10 and 4 of his last 5, and 1 of 2 this season against Dallas. - What happened: He grabbed 5 rebounds, 2 on the offensive end, in 28 minutes, 1.5 over the 3.5 line. He also scored 22 on 9 of 18 shooting with 3 threes and finished +18. - Worth watching: His 28 minutes gave him plenty of chances on the glass. The 4+ rung is a modest bar if that workload holds.

How the game played out

The game turned early in the fourth. With San Antonio up 92-91, Vassell hit a three and then set up the next three Spurs baskets, two of them threes, in an 11-0 run that made it 103-91. The lead reached 23 at 119-96 late in the quarter. Wembanyama finished +32 in 29 minutes, and Sergio de Larrea led Dallas with 21 points.

Trends to watch

  • The Spurs had 34 assists on 48 made baskets. Assist props for their guards are worth a look while the ball moves like this.
  • Dallas had 21 turnovers and San Antonio had 12 steals. The Spurs also had 15 fast break points.
  • Fox played 28 minutes and Vassell played 32 in a game the Spurs controlled. Their props held up without extra minutes.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about player props and alt lines, or see today's NBA board.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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