Trail Blazers vs. Lakers Recap: Doncic's 53 Leads 10 Cashes
The Lakers beat the Trail Blazers 124-118 at home on Friday night. Portland led 29-20 after one quarter and 60-53 at the half, then Los Angeles won the third quarter 34-15 and carried an 87-75 lead into the fourth. The Blazers made 19 of 43 threes and won the final quarter 43-37, but they turned it over 24 times against 15 Lakers steals. Luka Doncic scored 53. Ten DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
ALT: Luka Doncic 40+ points + rebounds + assists (-720 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had 40 or more combined in seven of eight games this season, averaging 54.6. - What happened: 53 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists for 63, on 17 of 33 shooting and 14 of 18 at the line. He cleared it by 23.5. - Worth watching: He took 33 shots and 18 free throws in 38 minutes. At that usage, low alt lines on him carry steep prices for a reason.
ALT: Austin Reaves 15+ points (-650 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had scored 15 or more in all nine games this season, averaging 23.3. - What happened: 25 points on 8 of 22 shooting and 8 of 8 at the line in 38 minutes. He cleared it by 10.5. - Worth watching: He made 1 of 8 from three and still got to 25. Getting to the line gives him a scoring floor.
ALT: Austin Reaves 25+ points + rebounds + assists (-390 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had 25 or more combined in eight of nine games this season, averaging 31.6. - What happened: 25 points, 3 rebounds and 2 assists for 30. He cleared it by 5.5. - Worth watching: Almost all of it came from scoring. On a quieter scoring night, the boards and assists leave little cushion.
ALT: Damian Lillard 15+ points (-530 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had 15 or more in six of seven games this season, averaging 20.1. - What happened: 22 points in 37 minutes, with 4 of 10 from three and 8 of 8 at the line. He cleared it by 7.5. - Worth watching: Ten three-point tries plus a perfect night at the line. That kind of volume is what holds up a low scoring alt.
Ziaire Williams 8+ points (-120 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had 8 or more in each of his last 10 games and 18 of his last 20. The price implied 55 percent against about 89 percent from recent games. - What happened: Exactly 8 points on 3 of 5 shooting, with 2 threes, in 20 minutes off the bench. It cashed by half a point. - Worth watching: Bench minutes make for thin margins. His minutes are the number to check first.
Ziaire Williams 11+ points + rebounds (-104 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had 11 or more in nine of his last 10 games, priced near even money against about 80 percent from recent games. - What happened: 8 points and 3 rebounds for exactly 11. It cashed by half a point. - Worth watching: Both of his props landed right on the number. The same minutes caveat applies.
ALT: Toumani Camara 3+ made threes (-102 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had three or more in seven of his last 10 games, priced near even money against about 67 percent from recent games. - What happened: 4 of 8 from deep for 18 points on 7 of 12 shooting in 30 minutes. He cleared it by 1.5. - Worth watching: Eight attempts is real volume. As long as the looks keep coming, this line stays close to a coin flip with an edge.
Sidy Cissoko 5+ rebounds + assists (+102 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He had 5 or more in eight of his last 10 games, at plus money against about 67 percent from recent games. - What happened: 2 rebounds and 3 assists for exactly 5 in 22 minutes. It cashed by half a point. - Worth watching: A small line on a role player leaves no room. His minutes decide this one.
ALT: Trail Blazers over 111.5 points (-180 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Portland's main team total sat at 114.5 to 115.5, and it had cleared 111.5 in eight of its last 10 even with Ja Morant and Shaedon Sharpe out. - What happened: Portland scored 118, including 43 in the fourth quarter. It cleared by 6.5. - Worth watching: They got there on 19 of 43 from three and 27 of 37 at the line despite 24 turnovers.
ALT: Lakers over 113.5 points (-192 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: The Lakers' main team total was 117.5, and they had cleared 113.5 in eight of their last 10 against a Portland team missing Morant and Sharpe. - What happened: Los Angeles scored 124 and cleared by 10.5, with 52 points in the paint and 17 offensive rebounds. - Worth watching: They made only 11 of 37 threes and still got there. They leaned on paint points and offensive rebounds instead.
How the game played out
Portland led after each of the first two quarters. The third quarter turned it: the Lakers outscored Portland by 19 in that frame, and Portland's late push in the fourth came up short. Walker Kessler had 16 points and 12 rebounds on 7 of 10 shooting. For Portland, Deni Avdija had 22 points, 9 rebounds and 11 assists, and Donovan Clingan added 17 points and 11 rebounds.
Trends to watch
- Doncic took 33 shots and 18 free throws. His scoring and combined props start from a very high floor while that usage holds.
- Portland turned it over 24 times and the Lakers had 15 steals. Turnovers like that feed extra possessions for the other side's team total.
- Camara and Lillard combined for 8 threes. Portland's shooters are getting real volume, which keeps their threes props worth a look.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to alternate lines? Start with our alt line guide and team totals, or see more on our NBA hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.