Packers vs. Lions Recap: Walk-Off Kick, St. Brown Goes for 153

The Lions beat the Packers 20-17 in Detroit on Sunday on a Jake Bates 22-yard field goal as time expired. Green Bay tied it 17-17 with a Trey Smack field goal at 7:10 of the fourth, then missed a kick on its next trip, and Detroit went 71 yards in 10 plays to set up the winner. The Lions lost two fumbles and still outgained Green Bay 415 to 324. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, all of them on the Detroit passing game.

What cashed

ALT: Jared Goff 250+ passing yards (-235 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Goff had thrown for 250 or more in 8 of his last 10 and 4 of 5 this season, in a game with a 55.5 total. - What happened: He completed 22 of 32 passes for 303 yards and 2 touchdowns with no interceptions, clearing the rung by 53 yards. - Worth watching: Goff threw only 32 passes and still reached 303 yards. His efficiency keeps his yardage lines in play even when the volume is modest.

ALT: Amon-Ra St. Brown 60+ receiving yards (-275 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: St. Brown had cleared 60 receiving yards in 8 of his last 10, averaging 88.9, and 79.6 indoors. His last 3 games averaged 54.3, which kept the alt price reasonable. - What happened: 153 yards on 9 catches, with a long of 40. He went past 60 by 93 yards. - Worth watching: The recent dip did not hold. When his number drops after a quiet stretch, that is the time to look at it.

ALT: Amon-Ra St. Brown 6+ receptions (-350 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: St. Brown had 6 or more catches in 8 of his last 10 and 4 of 5 this season. - What happened: 9 catches on 11 targets. - Worth watching: Eleven of Goff's 32 attempts going his way shows how much of the offense runs through him. The catch floor looks steady.

ALT: Jameson Williams 40+ receiving yards (-200 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Williams had cleared 40 receiving yards in 8 of his last 10 and 15 of his last 20. - What happened: 5 catches on 9 targets for 91 yards and two touchdowns, from 16 yards in the first quarter and 10 yards in the third. His long was 30. - Worth watching: Nine targets is real volume for a deep threat. His yardage rungs and his touchdown price are both worth a look next week.

How the game played out

Jordan Love threw touchdowns to Tucker Kraft and Josh Jacobs, and Green Bay led 14-10 early in the third quarter after Detroit fumbled on its second snap of the half. Williams answered with his second score, a 10-play, 80-yard drive that made it 17-14. Detroit also turned it over on downs twice, so the game stayed close until the final kick.

Trends to watch

• St. Brown drew 11 targets and Williams drew 9. Those two are the core of Detroit's passing props.
• Green Bay held Detroit to 2-of-5 in the red zone. Lions team total overs carry more risk if that keeps up.
• The Packers ran only 19 times for 60 yards. Love's passing lines look more attractive than Green Bay's rushing props in a game script like this.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about alt lines and implied probability, or see today's NFL board.