Panthers vs. Packers Recap: Love Throws 3 TDs, Four Plays Cash

Green Bay beat Carolina 27-19 on Thursday night. The Panthers led 10-6 early in the second quarter after a Chuba Hubbard 1-yard run, but the Packers scored the next three touchdowns: a Josh Jacobs 1-yard run, a 24-yard pass from Jordan Love to Matthew Golden before halftime, and a 4-yard Love pass to Jacobs in the third that made it 27-10. Carolina added a 50-yard field goal and a 26-yard touchdown from Bryce Young to Jalen Coker, but the two-point try failed and Green Bay held on. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Christian Watson 40+ receiving yards (-376 at DraftKings): CASHED

• Our read: Watson had 40+ receiving yards in all 7 games this year and 8 of his last 10 overall, averaging 76 yards over his last 10 and 88 over his last 3. He was not on the injury report.
• What happened: He caught 8 of 10 targets for 113 yards, 73.5 over, with a long of 53.
• Worth watching: That is 8 straight games at 40+. The price is steep, but his target share keeps this line in play.

ALT: Jordan Love 240+ passing yards (-194 at DraftKings): CASHED

• Our read: Love had 274, 276 and 367 in his last 3. Carolina was without CB Akayleb Evans, and the main line was 264.5.
• What happened: He completed 30 of 41 passes with 3 touchdowns and threw for 288 yards, 48.5 over the alt.
• Worth watching: He has now cleared 240 in 4 straight. He was not sacked tonight, so check the opposing pass rush before backing it.

ALT: Tucker Kraft 4+ receptions (-194 at DraftKings): CASHED

• Our read: Kraft had 4+ catches in 5 straight (4, 6, 5, 5, 4), and Matthew Golden's questionable tag pointed more short targets his way.
• What happened: He caught all 6 of his targets for 53 yards, 2.5 over, including a 12-yard touchdown in the first quarter.
• Worth watching: Golden played and caught 7 passes, and Kraft still cleared. That makes 6 straight games at 4+.

ALT: John Metchie III 2+ receptions (-128 at DraftKings): CASHED

• Our read: Metchie had cleared 2+ receptions in 8 of his last 10 games and 12 of his last 20. At -128 the price implied 56 percent against about 67 percent from recent games.
• What happened: He caught all 3 of his targets, 1.5 over.

How the game played out

Green Bay went 3-for-3 in the red zone and converted 9 of 16 third downs. Carolina was 5 of 18 on third down and gave up 6 sacks. The Packers outgained the Panthers 354 to 258, and Hubbard carried 22 times for 81 yards.

Trends to watch

• Watson drew 10 targets and Golden drew 13. Both are getting volume, which keeps Watson's yardage lines worth tracking even with Golden active.
• Kraft caught every target he saw. His reception line has a high floor in this offense.
• Love threw 41 times without being sacked. Passing volume like that supports his yardage alts.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see player prop and alt line, or get more at /nfl.