Patriots vs. Bears Recap: Swift Carries Chicago Past New England

The Bears beat the Patriots 30-24 on Thursday night in Chicago. Chicago led 20-14 at the half, pushed it to 27-14 on a Colston Loveland touchdown early in the third quarter, and held on after New England answered with an Eli Raridon score. A 58-yard Cairo Santos field goal with 1:34 left made it a two-score game before the Patriots kicked a late field goal. Six DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: D'Andre Swift 40+ rushing yards (-420 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: With Kyle Monangai out, Swift was the lead back again. He had 40+ rushing yards in all 6 games this season, and the main line sat at 60.5, so the alt rung gave us a big cushion. - What happened: Swift carried 22 times for 78 yards and a 4-yard touchdown in the first quarter. He finished 38.5 yards over the line. - Worth watching: 22 carries is a true lead-back workload. If Monangai stays out, low alt rushing rungs on Swift stay worth a look, though the price was steep here.

D'Andre Swift 70+ rushing + receiving yards (-278 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Swift had 70+ scrimmage yards in 6 of 6 games this season, averaging 89.7, and Monangai being inactive pushed more touches his way. - What happened: 78 rushing yards plus 4 catches for 12 yards made 90 scrimmage yards, 20.5 over the line. - Worth watching: He touched the ball 26 times. The receiving work was light, so most of the cushion came on the ground.

Luther Burden III 4+ receptions (-309 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Burden had 4+ catches in 5 of 6 games, including 8 on 8 targets at Atlanta the week before. The main line was 4.5, so we took the safer rung. - What happened: 4 catches on 4 targets for 130 yards and a 24-yard touchdown from Caleb Williams with 14 seconds left in the half. His long was 58. It landed right on the number we needed. - Worth watching: He caught every ball thrown his way for the second straight week. The catch count was tight, so the safer rung mattered.

Rome Odunze 40+ receiving yards (-135 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Odunze cleared 40 yards in 8 of his last 10 and 5 of 6 this season, and New England was missing corners Carlton Davis, Karon Prunty and Channing Canada. - What happened: 4 catches on 5 targets for 69 yards with a long of 21, 29.5 yards over the line. - Worth watching: At 17.3 yards per catch, the yardage angle held up even on modest volume. Yards beat catch counts for him in this one.

Hunter Henry 3+ receptions (-212 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Henry had 3+ catches in 5 of 6 games, and Romeo Doubs on IR freed up targets. - What happened: Henry caught all 7 of his targets for 71 yards, 4.5 catches over the line. - Worth watching: Drake Maye completed 24 of 31 passes, and Henry was a steady short-area option. If Doubs stays out, his target share is the thing to track.

ALT: Under 57.5 total points (-265 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: 5 of 6 Bears games and 5 of 6 Patriots games stayed under 57.5 this season. The main total was 50.5. - What happened: 54 total points, 3.5 under the alt line. The game went over the main number, which is why the alt rung was the play. - Worth watching: Both offenses moved the ball (405 and 380 total yards), so the alt cushion did real work here.

How the game played out

Chicago opened the scoring with a 43-yard Santos field goal, then went 74 yards in 5 plays for the Swift touchdown. Maye kept New England close with 321 passing yards, including a 48-yard touchdown to Rhamondre Stevenson as the first half ended. The Bears had no turnovers, while D'Marco Jackson picked off Maye in the second quarter.

Trends to watch

• Swift handled 22 of Chicago's 30 rushing attempts. That share is the base for his rushing and scrimmage props while Monangai is out.
• Williams threw for 308 yards on 22 of 33, and Loveland drew 12 targets. Chicago's passing game is spreading the ball, which matters for catch-count props on Burden and Odunze.
• New England ran for just 70 yards on 17 attempts, so Maye's arm carried the offense. Henry and Stevenson combined for 12 catches.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to alt rungs? Read our guide to the alt line, see how a total works, or check the latest on our NFL hub.