Ravens vs. Falcons Recap: Henry and Huntley Win It in Overtime
Ravens 30, Falcons 23 in overtime. Atlanta led 23-15 after a Nick Folk field goal with 2:31 left, but Tyler Huntley, starting for Lamar Jackson, hit Devontez Walker for a 7-yard touchdown with 40 seconds to go, and Derrick Henry ran in the two-point try to tie it. Huntley then capped a 14-play, 68-yard overtime drive with a 1-yard run, and Kyle Hamilton's interception ended Atlanta's only overtime possession. 27 DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Derrick Henry 15+ rushing attempts: CASHED
Derrick Henry 18+ rushing attempts: CASHED
Derrick Henry 50+ rushing yards: CASHED
Derrick Henry 60+ rushing yards: CASHED
Derrick Henry 75+ rushing + receiving yards: CASHED
Derrick Henry anytime TD (-151): CASHED
- Our read: Henry came in with 89 carries in 4 games, 23+ in 3 of them, and 60+ rushing yards in 10 straight. With Huntley starting, we expected Baltimore's offense and red-zone plan to run through him, and we kept the yardage alts well under the 81.5 main.
- What happened: 24 carries for 102 yards plus an 18-yard touchdown catch from Huntley in the third quarter, for 120 scrimmage yards. He also ran in the tying two-point conversion.
- Worth watching: The carry count is the steadiest part of his profile, even with a backup quarterback.
Bijan Robinson 15+ rushing attempts: CASHED
Bijan Robinson 70+ rushing yards: CASHED
Bijan Robinson 80+ rushing yards: CASHED
Bijan Robinson 100+ rushing + receiving yards: CASHED
Bijan Robinson 2+ receptions: CASHED
- Our read: Bijan had 494 rushing yards on 85 carries (5.8 per carry) through 4 games, 15+ carries in each of his last 10, and 2+ catches in 10 of his last 11. Baltimore ranked 24th in opponent rush EPA.
- What happened: 17 carries for 86 yards with a long of 38, plus 4 catches for 32 yards on 7 targets, for 118 scrimmage yards. The 80+ line was the closest, cleared by six yards.
- Worth watching: The 7 targets give his yardage props a floor.
Drake London 4+ receptions: CASHED
Drake London 60+ receiving yards: CASHED
- Our read: London had 14 catches for 290 yards in 2 games since Penix returned and is Atlanta's clear No. 1 target.
- What happened: 7 catches on 11 targets for 118 yards, long of 25. He cleared the 60+ line by 58 yards.
- Worth watching: That makes 408 receiving yards in 3 games with Penix back.
Michael Penix Jr. 175+ passing yards: CASHED
Michael Penix Jr. under 21.5 completions: CASHED
Michael Penix Jr. 1+ passing TDs: CASHED
- Our read: Penix cleared 175 and threw a touchdown pass in both starts since returning. We expected Atlanta to lean on Bijan, which keeps the completion count down.
- What happened: Penix completed 19 passes for 240 yards with a 5-yard touchdown to Kyle Pitts Sr. late in the second quarter. That cleared 175 by 65 yards and stayed 2.5 completions under 21.5.
- Worth watching: His yardage floor is holding with London as the top target.
Tyler Huntley under 220.5 passing yards: CASHED
Tyler Huntley 12+ completions: CASHED
Tyler Huntley under 0.5 interceptions: CASHED
- Our read: Huntley started behind a line missing center Cam Jurgens, so we expected short throws and a heavy dose of Henry. He had no interceptions in his last 7 appearances, and books set his completions at 17.5.
- What happened: 24 completions on 32 attempts for 201 yards, two touchdown passes, no interceptions, plus the overtime rushing score. Completions doubled the 12+ line while yardage stayed 19.5 under 220.5.
- Worth watching: Completions over, yards under is the backup profile here (6.3 yards per attempt) if he starts again.
Mark Andrews 2+ receptions: CASHED
Mark Andrews 3+ receptions: CASHED
Mark Andrews 20+ receiving yards: CASHED
- Our read: Andrews had 3+ catches and 24+ receiving yards in all 4 games, and we saw him as Huntley's short-area outlet.
- What happened: 4 catches on 6 targets for 28 yards, long of 10.
- Worth watching: The catch floor held but the yards were modest, so low alt lines fit him with this quarterback.
Zay Flowers 4+ receptions: CASHED
Zay Flowers 40+ receiving yards: CASHED
- Our read: Flowers had 4+ catches and 40+ receiving yards in all 3 games this season. He was questionable with a foot injury but expected to play.
- What happened: A team-high 8 catches on 9 targets for 53 yards, plus a 13-yard run.
- Worth watching: The volume is there with Huntley, but 6.6 yards per catch means lower yardage alts fit this pairing.
Kyle Pitts Sr. under 7.5 receptions: CASHED
- Our read: Pitts had 5 catches in 4 games (0, 1, 1, 3) and stayed under 7.5 in 9 of his last 10, with London and Bijan getting the volume.
- What happened: His busiest game of the season, 5 catches for 42 yards and the touchdown, still 2.5 under.
- Worth watching: His 6 targets were a step up, so watch his role before leaning on unders again.
Brian Robinson Jr. 6+ rushing attempts: CASHED
- Our read: Robinson had 6+ carries in all 4 games as the clear No. 2 behind Bijan.
- What happened: 7 carries for 16 yards.
- Worth watching: The carry floor held in a one-score game.
ALT: Falcons over 17.5 team total points (alt, targeted -170 to -200): CASHED
- Our read: Atlanta scored 35 and 45 in Penix's two starts, Baltimore had allowed 18, 23, 24 and 31, and the Ravens were without Trey Hendrickson.
- What happened: Atlanta reached 23 on a 36-yard Jessie Bates III fumble return, the Pitts touchdown and three Folk field goals (23, 34 and 48 yards), clearing by 5.5.
- Worth watching: Seven of those points came from the defense, so the offense did not carry this one alone.
How the game played out
Atlanta led 14-9 at the half, then ran a 16-play, 74-yard drive that took 8:26 off the clock but ended in a field goal. In the red zone, Atlanta was 1-3 and Baltimore 3-4, and Tyler Loop added two 51-yard field goals.
Trends to watch
- Henry's workload: 24 carries with a backup quarterback, on a night Baltimore ran 35 times for 208 yards.
- London's targets: 11 looks and 118 yards as the first read for Penix.
- Huntley's shape: high completions, low yardage per attempt, which matters for his receivers' yardage lines too.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. More on the alt line and the player prop, or head back to the NFL hub.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.