Seahawks vs. Broncos Recap: Overtime Field Goal Cashes the Over

The Broncos beat the Seahawks 17-14 in overtime on Thursday night in a game that looked headed for a low-scoring finish for most of the night. Denver built a 14-3 lead in the second quarter on short touchdown runs by J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey, then the third quarter went scoreless. Seattle tied it late with a George Holani touchdown and two-point conversion, then a Jason Myers field goal with 3 seconds left in regulation. Wil Lutz won it with a 53-yard field goal in overtime. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Jaxon Smith-Njigba 70+ receiving yards (-275 at FanDuel): CASHED

• Our read: JSN had 70+ receiving yards in all 5 games this season and 8 of his last 10, with a main line of 92.5. Denver had ruled out CB Pat Surtain II and S Talanoa Hufanga.
• What happened: He caught 12 passes on 16 targets for 134 yards, with a long of 32. That cleared the 70-yard mark by 64 yards and went past his main line too. Sam Darnold threw 51 times, and JSN drew 16 of those targets.
• Worth watching: 16 targets is a heavy share in any game. When the volume looks like this and the secondary across from him is short-handed, his yardage props stay worth a look, though the price on a 70+ alt will usually be steep.

ALT: Over 30.5 total points (-502 at DraftKings): CASHED

• Our read: The main total was 40.5, and 31+ points had landed in 9 of the last 10 games across both teams. Denver's secondary was down Surtain and Hufanga.
• What happened: This one went to the wire. Regulation ended 14-14, which is 28 points, so the over was still short heading into overtime. Seattle's first overtime drive ended in an interception, and Denver's 4-play, 8-yard drive set up Lutz's 53-yard field goal. That made it 31 total points, half a point over the number.
• Worth watching: A 10-point cushion under the main total still came down to the last kick. Low alt totals carry heavy prices for a reason; when two defenses play like this one, the cushion can vanish fast.

How the game played out

Denver's offense managed just 168 total yards, 94 through the air, and was 3-14 on third down. Seattle out-gained Denver 353 to 168 and held the ball for 35:38, but three turnovers and five sacks kept the Seahawks off the board for long stretches. Darnold completed 27 of 51 passes for 278 yards with two interceptions. Denver's two touchdown drives both came in the first half, including a 16-play, 74-yard march.

Trends to watch

• Smith-Njigba drew 16 of Seattle's targets. Kupp and Shaheed each had 5 catches, so the volume runs through JSN first.
• Denver's run game was slow: Dobbins had 17 carries for 41 yards. Watch his rushing lines if the price leans on volume alone.
• Seattle's 26 rushing attempts produced 113 yards; Emanuel Wilson led with 14 carries for 52.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to alt lines? Start with our alt line guide, read up on totals, or head back to the NFL hub.