Capitals vs. Predators Recap: O'Reilly Point, Leonard Shots Cash

The Washington Capitals beat the Nashville Predators 4-3 in regulation. Nashville scored first on the power play, and Washington answered every time after that. The Capitals took the lead three times, and the last one held when Alex Tuch scored at 10:09 of the 3rd. Washington outshot Nashville 29-27, Charlie Lindgren made 24 saves on 27 shots, and Juuse Saros stopped 25 of 29. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Ryan O'Reilly 1+ points (-170 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: O'Reilly came in with a point in 8 of his last 10 games and 9 of 12 this season, and Washington was on the second night of a back-to-back. - What happened: 0 G, 1 A, 0 SOG in 21:42 of ice time, with 3:30 on the power play. The point came early: he had the primary assist on Filip Forsberg's power-play slap shot at 12:48 of the 1st, the game's first goal. One point cleared the 0.5 line by 0.5, and the prop was settled before the 1st period ended. - Worth watching: O'Reilly's role is the angle. He played 21:42, got 3:30 of power-play time, killed penalties and won 11 of 15 faceoffs. A -170 price implies about 63 percent, so the number has to stay in line with his recent point rate to be worth a look.

Ryan Leonard 2+ shots on goal (-160 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Leonard had 2+ shots on goal in all 11 games this season (2.6 per game), including 4 the night before, and Washington was on the second half of a back-to-back. - What happened: 0 G, 0 A, 3 SOG in 13:53, with 1:46 on the power play. His first shot came at 4:07 of the 2nd, eight seconds before Boone Jenner's goal, and his second at 12:07 of the 2nd settled it. He added a third at 8:53 of the 3rd. Three shots cleared the 1.5 line by 1.5. He also drew a slashing penalty at 2:11 of the 2nd. - Worth watching: Leonard did this on 13:53 of ice time, so the volume is coming from shot rate, not minutes. If his power-play time grows, the shot floor gets sturdier.

How the game played out

The 1st belonged to Nashville, which outshot Washington 12-5. Washington took minors at 10:57 and 11:01, and Forsberg scored on the power play at 12:48. Cole Hutson tied it at 16:13. The 2nd swung the other way: Washington outshot Nashville 15-4 and scored twice, from Jenner at 4:15 and Hutson again at 13:46. Forsberg's second goal tied it in between at 9:09. Ross Colton made it 3-3 at 6:34 of the 3rd, and Tuch answered 3:35 later for the winner.

Trends to watch

• Special teams: Nashville scored once on three power plays, and that goal opened the scoring. Washington did not score on its two power plays.
• Faceoffs: Nashville won 60.7 percent of draws, and O'Reilly won 11 of his 15. Add 3:30 on the power play and 1:55 on the penalty kill, and his 21:42 is a full-role night.
• Defensemen on the sheet: Hutson scored twice on 2 shots in 18:26 for Washington. Roman Josi had three assists and 6 shots in 22:56 for Nashville.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more, see our NHL board, the NHL recaps hub, and our guides to implied probability and the player prop.