Flyers vs. Lightning Recap: Hagel's 8 Shots Lead Three Cashes
The Lightning beat the Flyers 4-1 in regulation. Brayden Point tipped in the opener at 16:05 of the 1st, and Pontus Holmberg made it 2-0 just 17 seconds into the 2nd. Tyson Foerster cut it to 2-1 at 7:22 of the 2nd, but Ilya Mikheyev scored on a wrap-around at 17:00 of the 3rd, and Brandon Hagel added an empty-net goal at 19:53. Tampa Bay outshot Philadelphia 36-14, and neither power play scored (both 0-for-3). Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Brandon Hagel 3+ shots on goal (-155 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Hagel had 9 shots through 2 games and hit 3+ in 42 of 71 games last season, and Philadelphia was allowing 40.7 shots a game (122 in 3). - What happened: 8 shots on goal in 20:11, including 5:18 on the power play, plus the empty-net goal at 19:53 of the 3rd, assisted by Nikita Kucherov. That is 5.5 over the line. - Worth watching: Hagel now has 17 shots on goal in 3 games, and he is getting real power-play time. Against teams that give up shots in volume, his 3+ shots prop stays on our list.
Flyers under 2.5 team goals (-130 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: The Flyers had 4 regulation goals in 3 games, 20.7 shots a game and an 0-for-8 power play, and this was their 4th game in 6 nights. - What happened: Philadelphia scored 1 goal, 1.5 under the line. The Flyers managed 14 shots on goal and went 0-for-3 on the power play. This was a longer shot that landed. - Worth watching: The Flyers' power play is now 0-for-11 on the season. Until that changes, their team total under stays an angle worth a look.
Tyson Foerster 2+ shots on goal (-130 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Foerster had 2+ shots in 20 of 29 games last season and was on Philadelphia's PP1. - What happened: 4 shots on goal in 18:55, including 3:32 on the power play, and he scored Philadelphia's only goal at 7:22 of the 2nd, a wrist shot set up by Nick Seeler and Sean Couturier. That is 2.5 over the line. Another longer shot that landed. - Worth watching: Foerster took 4 of Philadelphia's 14 shots on goal. On a team that struggles to generate shots, a PP1 shooter who gets his attempts through is worth tracking.
How the game played out
Tampa Bay controlled the shot count all night, 36-14. Dan Vladar kept the Flyers close with 32 saves on 35 shots (.914) in 57:24, and Foerster's goal made it 2-1 entering the 3rd. Mikheyev's goal at 17:00 restored the two-goal lead, and Hagel's empty-netter closed it out. Andrei Vasilevskiy needed just 13 saves on 14 shots.
Trends to watch
- Philadelphia's shot volume: 14 shots on goal, below the 20.7 a game they came in with. Opposing goalies are seeing light workloads.
- Philadelphia keeps giving up shots in bulk. Tampa Bay put 36 on goal, after the Flyers allowed 40.7 a game coming in.
- Hagel's power-play time (5:18) and shot count (8) make him one of the shot-volume names to track early in the season.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. More hockey on our NHL page, past games in NHL recaps, and how team totals work in our totals guide.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.