DARIMARKET
NHL · Game recap · Sun, Oct 11

Hurricanes vs. Flyers Recap: Three-Goal 2nd Period Sinks Philly

Final · Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers
Hurricanes 4, Flyers 1
Board plays on this game
9 of 14 hit. We post the misses too.

The Carolina Hurricanes beat the Philadelphia Flyers 4-1 on Sunday night, and it was settled in a busy 2nd period. After a scoreless first, Andrei Svechnikov opened the scoring at 10:16 of the 2nd and Shayne Gostisbehere made it 2-0 at 13:45. Christian Dvorak tipped one in for Philadelphia at 15:26, but Sebastian Aho answered 1:28 later at 16:54. Mark Jankowski added the fourth at 15:09 of the 3rd. Every goal came at even strength: Carolina was 0-for-4 on the power play and Philadelphia was 0-for-3. Carolina outshot the Flyers 30-19, Pyotr Kochetkov made 18 saves, and Joseph Woll made 26 at the other end. Nine DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Jackson Blake 2+ shots on goal (-230 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Blake had 2+ shots in all six of his games this season (16 shots), and Philadelphia was allowing a league-worst 36 shots a game. - What happened: Blake put 4 shots on goal in 20:25, with 6:12 on the power play, clearing the 1.5 line by 2.5. - Worth watching: Top power-play time and 20-plus minutes support his shot volume. The angle holds up, but the price is steep.

Flyers under 2.5 team goals (-120 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: The Flyers had scored 2 or fewer in all six games (7 goals total), and they played without Konecny against a Carolina penalty kill running at 92%. - What happened: Philadelphia scored once, Dvorak's tip-in at 15:26 of the 2nd, finishing 1.5 goals under the line. Carolina killed all three Flyers power plays. - Worth watching: Until Philadelphia's shot volume moves, low team totals stay on our radar.

Hurricanes moneyline (-180 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Philadelphia was winless through six games with 7 goals, Carolina outshoots teams 32-22 a night, both teams were on the second half of a back-to-back, and Konecny and York were out for Philly. - What happened: Carolina won 4-1 and outshot Philadelphia 30-19. The three-goal 2nd decided it, and Aho's goal at 16:54 restored the two-goal lead right after Dvorak cut it to 2-1. - Worth watching: Favorite prices like this need the shot gap to show up, and it did here.

ALT: Under 6.5 total goals (alt): CASHED - Our read: Five of Philly's six games had stayed under 6.5, and an offense scoring 1.17 goals a game could not carry its end of a high-scoring night. - What happened: 5 total goals, 1.5 under the line. The first period was scoreless, and the teams combined for 4 goals in the 2nd. - Worth watching: The alt line trades price for cushion, a fit when one side's scoring is this thin.

Taylor Hall 2+ shots on goal (-155 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Hall had 2+ shots in four of six games and 4 shots in two of his last three, against the team allowing the most shots in the league. - What happened: Hall had 3 shots on goal in 15:26, with 1:51 on the power play, and finished +1. That cleared the 1.5 line by 1.5. - Worth watching: He played mostly even-strength minutes, so the opponent's shots allowed is the key input.

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Owen Tippett under 0.5 points (-160 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Tippett had 1 point in six games on a Flyers team scoring 1.17 goals a night, and he went pointless in 57% of games last season. - What happened: Tippett finished with 0 goals, 0 assists, 3 shots on goal and a -1 in 15:05, including 2:41 on the power play. Philadelphia's only goal came from Dvorak, with assists to Nick Seeler and Denver Barkey. - Worth watching: He is still getting shots and power-play time, so the under depends on the Flyers' scoring staying this low.

Pyotr Kochetkov under 20.5 saves (-135 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: This was a longer shot that landed. Philadelphia was averaging 20.2 shots and 1.2 goals a game, and Kochetkov had faced 19 shots per start. - What happened: Kochetkov made 18 saves on 19 shots (.947) in 60:00, finishing 2.5 under the line. Philadelphia had 5 shots in the 1st and 7 in each of the 2nd and 3rd. - Worth watching: A saves under against a low-volume offense is worth a look when the price is near even.

Joseph Woll over 25.5 saves (-250 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Carolina had put 33-40 shots on goal in five of six games, including 40 on Philadelphia on Oct. 3, and the Flyers allow 36 shots a game. - What happened: Woll made 26 saves on 30 shots (.867) in 59:50, clearing the line by 0.5. Carolina had 11 shots in the 1st, 9 in the 2nd and 10 in the 3rd, and he stopped all 11 in the opening period. - Worth watching: Carolina's 30 shots were below its usual range, and this cleared by a single save. That is a thin margin at this price.

Trevor Zegras under 1.5 shots on goal (-130 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Zegras had 1 or fewer shots in five of six games, and Carolina allows about 22 shots a game. - What happened: Zegras had 1 shot on goal in 16:05, with 3:06 on the power play, finishing 0.5 under the line. He was a -3. - Worth watching: Even with power-play time, his shot volume stayed low against a team that suppresses shots.

How the game played out

The 2nd period was the swing. Carolina scored three times in it, and Aho's goal came 1:28 after Dvorak's, so the Flyers never got the game back to one goal for long. Neither power play scored, which left it to even strength, where Carolina had the edge in shot volume all night.

Trends to watch

  • Carolina's power-play group: Nikolaj Ehlers (6:15), Blake (6:12), Gostisbehere (5:53), Svechnikov (5:47) and Aho (5:26) led Carolina in power-play time. The power play went 0-for-4, but Blake still finished with 4 shots on goal.
  • Philadelphia's shot volume: 19 shots, with no period above 7. That kept Kochetkov's workload light.
  • Woll's workload: 30 shots against was lower than Carolina's recent range. Watch the shot gap before treating his saves over as automatic.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on Carolina, read the Hurricanes banner and Stanley Cup comeback story. New to the bet types here? See player props and alt lines, or browse more NHL recaps.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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