DARIMARKET
NHL · Game recap · Fri, Oct 9

Kraken vs. Red Wings Recap: Four-Goal 2nd Lifts Seattle

Final · Seattle Kraken at Detroit Red Wings
Kraken 6, Red Wings 3
Board plays on this game
2 of 4 hit. We post the misses too.

The Seattle Kraken beat the Detroit Red Wings 6-3 on Friday night, and they did it while getting outshot 40-24. Detroit opened the scoring on a Viktor Arvidsson power-play goal at 9:19 of the 1st, and William Wallinder put the Red Wings back in front 2-1 at 4:00 of the 2nd. Then the 2nd period flipped. Seattle scored four straight even-strength goals, two from Freddy Gaudreau, plus Mackie Samoskevich and Ben Meyers, to lead 5-2 after 40 minutes. John Gibson allowed five goals on 15 shots before Daniil Tarasov took over. Philipp Grubauer made 37 saves on 40 shots at the other end. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Alex DeBrincat 3+ shots on goal (-230 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: DeBrincat put up 3+ shots in 62 of 82 games last season and came in with 8 shots through 3 games, so the volume case was strong. - What happened: He finished with exactly 3 shots on goal in 16:01, including 1:39 on the power play, clearing the 2.5 line by 0.5. He also picked up the primary assist on Wallinder's go-ahead goal in the 2nd. - Worth watching: Detroit fired 40 shots in this one and DeBrincat still landed right on the number, so the price matters. At -230 there is not much room; we would want that price or better again.

Vince Dunn under 2.5 shots on goal (-175 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Dunn had 4 shots in 4 games this season, under 3 every night, and stayed under 3 in 53 of 81 games last season. - What happened: Dunn took 2 shots on goal in 21:51 and one of them went in, a power-play snap shot at 11:53 of the 3rd that made it 6-2. That is 0.5 under the line. - Worth watching: He scored and the under still cashed, which is the point of the angle: the shot volume stays low even on a good night. Seattle only had 24 shots as a team, which helps any Kraken under.

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How the game played out

The swing was a 2nd period where Seattle scored four times on its way to a 5-2 lead. Detroit won the shot count by a wide margin but could not solve Grubauer. Each team scored once on three power plays. Michael Brandsegg-Nygard closed the scoring for Detroit at 15:27 of the 3rd.

Trends to watch

  • Shot volume did not decide this game. Detroit won the shot count 40-24, while Seattle won 52.8 percent of the faceoffs and scored six. Team shot totals are a better guide for player shot props than for the result.
  • Grubauer faced 40 shots and stopped 37. When Seattle gets outshot like this, his saves line becomes worth a look.
  • Seattle blocked 22 shots to Detroit's 12, which kept a lot of Red Wings attempts from ever reaching the net.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. More hockey coverage lives on the NHL hub and in our NHL recaps. New to shot lines? Start with our guide to the player prop.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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