DARIMARKET
NHL · Game recap · Sun, Nov 8

Lightning vs. Jets Recap: Scheifele Wins It With 2 Seconds Left

Final · Tampa Bay Lightning at Winnipeg Jets
Jets 4, Lightning 3
Board plays on this game
4 of 8 hit. We post the misses too.

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-3 on Sunday, and it took a power-play goal from Mark Scheifele at 19:58 of the 3rd to do it. Winnipeg built a 3-0 lead on goals from Cole Perfetti, Morgan Barron and Brayden Yager. Tampa Bay answered with three straight in the 3rd, from Brandon Hagel at 10:22 and two from Pontus Holmberg at 14:01 and 14:27, before Scheifele's slap shot won it. The Jets scored 3 power-play goals on 5 chances and outshot Tampa Bay 25-21. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Lightning over 2.5 team goals (-225 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: The Lightning scored 3.9 a game over the last 15, and the Jets allowed 3.6. We projected Tampa Bay at 3.7 against a 2.5 line. - What happened: Tampa Bay was held scoreless through two periods, then scored 3 in the 3rd. Holmberg's backhand at 14:27 was the third goal and cleared the line by 0.5. - Worth watching: This one needed a full 60 minutes. The scoring profile held up, but team totals at -225 leave little room when a goalie gets hot for two periods.

Cole Perfetti 2+ shots on goal (-215 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Perfetti had 2+ shots in 10 straight games and in 16 of 17 this season. - What happened: He put 6 shots on goal in 15:41, with 5:25 on the power play. He scored on the power play at 1:53 of the 2nd and set up Scheifele's winner. - Worth watching: He got real power-play time, and while that usage holds, low shot lines like this keep making sense.

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ALT: Brandon Hagel 3+ shots on goal (-110 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Hagel cleared 3+ shots in 7 of his last 10 and 16 of his last 20. The best price of -110 implied 52%, against about 72% from his recent games. - What happened: He landed exactly 3 shots in 19:20, and one of them was the wrist shot at 10:22 of the 3rd that started the comeback. - Worth watching: The gap between the price and his recent rate is the angle. It cashed with no room to spare, so keep checking that the price still leaves an edge.

ALT: Gabriel Vilardi 2+ shots on goal (-140 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Vilardi cleared 2+ shots in 8 of his last 10 and 14 of his last 20. The best price of -140 implied 58%, against about 72% from recent games. - What happened: He had 3 shots on goal in 21:33, with 5:23 on the power play, and picked up an assist on the game-winner. - Worth watching: Ice time like his 21:33, with power-play minutes on top, gives him a steady floor for low shot lines.

How the game played out

Winnipeg's special teams decided it. All 3 of the Jets' power-play goals came from different players, and Tampa Bay went without a power-play goal on 4 chances. Andrei Vasilevskiy made 21 saves on 25 shots, while Stuart Skinner stopped 18 of 21.

Trends to watch

  • Perfetti and Scheifele combined on both the opening goal and the winner, and both came on the power play.
  • Tampa Bay scored three even-strength goals in 4:05 of the 3rd, which shows how fast this team can flip a game late.
  • Winnipeg blocked 17 shots to Tampa Bay's 3, which helped keep the Lightning to 21 shots.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Find more on the NHL hub, see every NHL recap, or read up on the player prop.

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