Mammoth vs. Penguins Recap: Sergachev Wins It in OT, Three Props Cash

The Utah Mammoth beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3 in overtime on Thursday night. Logan Cooley scored twice in the 1st period for a 2-0 Utah lead, then the Penguins came all the way back: Erik Karlsson scored at 8:38 of the 2nd, Rickard Rakell tied it shorthanded at 10:59 of the 3rd, and Ben Kindel put Pittsburgh ahead 3-2 at 19:35. Cooley answered 24 seconds later with a tip-in at 19:59 of the 3rd to finish a hat trick and force overtime. Mikhail Sergachev won it at 3:27 of overtime off a Barrett Hayton assist. Shots were even at 34 apiece. Sebastian Cossa made 31 saves for Utah, and Arturs Silovs made 30 for Pittsburgh. Each team had one power play and neither scored on it. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Mikhail Sergachev 2+ shots on goal (-175 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Sergachev had 2+ shots in 8 of his last 10 and 11 of 13 this season, averaging 2.2 per game, while playing 24-27 minutes a night. - What happened: 1 G, 0 A, 2 SOG in 26:16 TOI (1:01 PP), plus 5 blocked shots. He cleared the 1.5 line by 0.5. His first shot came at 1:09 of the 1st, and his second was the overtime winner at 3:27. - Worth watching: The minutes landed right in the range we expected. A defenseman playing 26 minutes with a steady shot habit is the profile we like for this line, though at -175 it cashed with no room to spare.

Erik Karlsson under 2.5 shots on goal (-175 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Karlsson had stayed at 2 or fewer shots in 8 of his last 10, averaging 1.7 per game, and in 8 of his last 10 at home. - What happened: 1 G, 0 A, 1 SOG in 21:33 TOI (1:04 PP). He finished 1.5 shots under the 2.5 line. His only shot on goal was his goal at 8:38 of the 2nd, assisted by Ben Kindel and Evgeni Malkin. - Worth watching: He scored and still stayed well under, which is the point of this angle: low volume, not low impact. He saw only 1:04 on the power play, and that keeps the under in play when the price is fair.

ALT: Barrett Hayton 2+ shots on goal (-120 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Hayton cleared 2+ shots on goal in 7 of his last 10 games and 13 of his last 20. At -120, about 55% implied, the price sat below the roughly 65% his recent games pointed to. - What happened: 0 G, 1 A, 3 SOG in 16:17 TOI (0:59 PP). He beat the 1.5 line by 1.5. Shots at 5:48 and 12:37 of the 1st had this cashed early, and his third shot came 3 seconds before he set up the Sergachev winner. - Worth watching: He got there on 16 minutes, so the volume did not need a heavy role. The edge here was the price, and that is the part to check next time.

How the game played out

Utah built its lead in the 1st on two Cooley wrist shots. Pittsburgh pulled back into it in the 2nd and 3rd, and the swing was Karlsson's tripping penalty at 9:58 of the 3rd: Utah got its only power play and Rakell scored shorthanded on it. Kindel's go-ahead goal stood until Cooley tipped one in with one second left in regulation. Sergachev ended it in overtime.

Trends to watch

• Sergachev logged 26:16, the most of the three players we played here, plus 1:29 on the penalty kill. That workload is what supports his shot volume.
• Cooley finished with 3 goals on 5 shots in 18:36. He scored every Utah goal in regulation.
• Special teams: each side had one power play and neither scored on it, but Pittsburgh's shorthanded goal is what turned the 3rd.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. New to the terms? See player props, alt lines and implied probability, or browse more NHL recaps.