DARIMARKET
NHL · Game recap · Tue, Oct 27

Panthers vs. Jets Recap: Matthew Tkachuk's 4 Assists Lead 5 Cashes

Final · Florida Panthers at Winnipeg Jets
Panthers 5, Jets 1
Board plays on this game
5 of 6 hit. We post the misses too.

Panthers 5, Jets 1. Florida scored three times in the 1st: Carter Verhaeghe on the power play at 7:27, Niko Mikkola at 8:42 and Verhaeghe again on the power play at 10:18. Adam Lowry's shorthanded wrap-around at 12:27 of the 2nd put Winnipeg on the board, but Sam Reinhart answered on the power play 47 seconds later. Brady Tkachuk closed it out at 12:10 of the 3rd. Shots were 25-24 for Winnipeg. Akira Schmid made 24 saves on 25 shots; Clay Stevenson made 19 saves on 24. Florida scored on three of its five power plays. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Kyle Connor 3+ shots on goal (-210 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Connor had 3+ shots in 10 of 11 games this season and 17 of his last 20, averaging 4.5 shots a night on 20-24 minutes. - What happened: Exactly 3 shots on goal in 21:34, with 2:30 on the power play. He cleared the 2.5 line by 0.5 and did not score. - Worth watching: Winnipeg had only two power plays, and he still reached 3. His even-strength volume on top-line minutes is the reason to keep looking.

Matthew Tkachuk 1+ points (-230 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Tkachuk had a point in 10 of 11 games this season, and with Barkov and Marchand on IR, Florida's offense runs through him. - What happened: Four assists, on Mikkola's goal at 8:42 and Verhaeghe's at 10:18 in the 1st, Reinhart's at 13:14 of the 2nd and Brady Tkachuk's at 12:10 of the 3rd. He had 1 shot on goal in 16:45, with 5:41 on the power play, and cleared the line by 3.5. - Worth watching: Two of his four assists came on the power play. While Barkov and Marchand are out, his playmaking is the angle.

Gabriel Vilardi 2+ shots on goal (-140 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Vilardi had 2+ shots in 9 of his last 10 and 9 of 11 this season, with exactly 2 in each of his last 5. - What happened: 3 shots on goal in 14:13, with 2:30 on the power play, 1.5 over the line. - Worth watching: The volume came without heavy minutes, which makes the 2+ line at a modest price worth a look again.

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Sam Reinhart 2+ shots on goal (-285 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Reinhart had 2+ shots in 9 of his last 10 (3.3 a game) and centers the 2nd line with PP1 time. Winnipeg ranked 27th in shots allowed. - What happened: 2 shots on goal in 18:34, with 5:51 on the power play. One of them was his power-play goal at 13:14 of the 2nd. He cleared the line by 0.5. - Worth watching: Florida had only 24 shots as a team, so this one was tight. At -285 it was also close to the -300 mark where we pass.

Cole Perfetti 2+ shots on goal (-260 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Perfetti had 2+ shots in 9 of his last 10 (2.8 a game, 3.7 over his last 3) on the Connor-Scheifele top line and PP1. - What happened: 3 shots on goal in 16:07, with 2:24 on the power play, 1.5 over the line. - Worth watching: Connor, Vilardi and Perfetti combined for 9 of Winnipeg's 25 shots. As long as that group drives the volume, their shot props stay in play.

How the game played out

The 1st period decided it. Florida's power play scored twice in the opening frame, and Seth Jones assisted on all three 1st-period goals. Winnipeg's only goal came while shorthanded, and Reinhart's power-play goal 47 seconds later restored the three-goal lead.

Trends to watch

  • Florida's power play: three goals on five chances, with Matthew Tkachuk at 5:41 and Reinhart at 5:51 of power-play time.
  • Winnipeg's shot volume held at 25 even while trailing for most of the night, which supports its skaters' shot props.
  • Stevenson allowed 5 goals on 24 shots for a .792 save percentage.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. More: the NHL board, all NHL recaps and what a player prop is.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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