Penguins vs. Capitals Recap: Thompson's 27 Saves Lead Five Cashes
The Washington Capitals beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-3 on Wednesday night. Anthony Beauvillier scored 23 seconds in, Washington built a 4-1 lead by 13:14 of the 2nd, and Pittsburgh pulled within 4-3 before Ryan Leonard's power-play goal at 3:55 of the 3rd. Tom Wilson had a goal and 2 assists. Pittsburgh outshot Washington 30-27, and Logan Thompson made 27 saves for the Capitals. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
ALT: Over 4.5 total goals (alt): CASHED - Our read: DraftKings had the main total at 6.5, so the market expected 6-7 goals and this alt only needed 5. We also had Pittsburgh projected to start rookie Sergei Murashov. - What happened: 8 goals, 3.5 over the line. It was over by 13:14 of the 2nd, when Alex Tuch made it 4-1 for the fifth goal. Arturs Silovs got the start for Pittsburgh. - Worth watching: When the main number is 6.5, an alt over 4.5 gives two full goals of room. That cushion is the point of the play, and the price has to stay at -270 or better.
Tom Wilson under 2.5 shots on goal (-170 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Wilson had 3+ shots in only 32% of his 72 games last season (24% over his last 25) and came in with 2 shots in 2 games this year. - What happened: Wilson finished with 2 shots on goal in 19:49, half a shot under the line. One of those shots was his goal at 11:51 of the 1st. He also set up Pierre-Luc Dubois at 4:42 and Tuch at 13:14 of the 2nd, with 3:36 of power-play time. - Worth watching: Wilson can fill the scoresheet without shooting much. A 3-point night on 2 shots is the case for his shots under even when he plays well.
Arturs Silovs under 26.5 saves (-115 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Washington managed 27 and 21 shots on goal in its first two games, and Pittsburgh allowed 25 or fewer in two of its three. - What happened: Silovs made 22 saves on 27 shots and allowed 5 goals in 56:04, finishing 4.5 under the line. - Worth watching: Washington's shot volume stayed in the same range as its first two games, which is what a saves under needs. Low-volume opponents keep this angle live.
Logan Thompson over 23.5 saves (-130 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Pittsburgh was averaging 33 shots on goal through three games, and Thompson made 31 saves in his only start. - What happened: Thompson made 27 saves on 30 shots and allowed 3 goals over the full 60:00, 3.5 over the line. - Worth watching: Pittsburgh keeps putting pucks on net. A goalie facing a high-volume shooting team is the setup we look for in a saves over.
Logan Thompson over 21.5 saves (-295 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Thompson was confirmed, Pittsburgh had put 38, 30 and 31 shots on goal in its three games, and Washington had allowed 33 and 30. - What happened: The same 27 saves cleared this line by 5.5. - Worth watching: At -295 this milestone costs a lot. The shot volume has to keep showing up to justify that price.
How the game played out
Bryan Rust tied it 1-1 at 1:19 of the 1st, but Washington scored three straight through Wilson, Dubois and Tuch. Pittsburgh answered with Tommy Novak at 14:05 and Nick Robertson at 18:01 of the 2nd. Leonard's goal early in the 3rd was the only power-play goal of the night.
Trends to watch
- Pittsburgh put 30 shots on Thompson, in line with its 38, 30 and 31 in the first three games. Their opponents' goalies stay worth a look for saves overs.
- Washington was 1-for-4 on the power play and Pittsburgh 0-for-3.
- Washington won 58.5% of faceoffs and outhit Pittsburgh 22-7, while Pittsburgh had 21 giveaways.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. More: the NHL hub, all NHL recaps, and what a player prop is.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.