Predators vs. Senators Recap: Ottawa Wins in a Shootout, Three Cash

The Ottawa Senators beat the Nashville Predators 3-2 in a shootout on Saturday night. Nashville built a 2-0 lead in the 1st period on an even-strength goal from Ross Colton at 8:50 and a power-play goal from Jonathan Marchessault at 13:10. Ottawa answered with a Tim Stutzle power-play goal at 9:29 of the 2nd, then Drake Batherson tied it with a deflection at 18:37 of the 3rd. Overtime was scoreless, and Ottawa won the shootout. The 3-2 final includes 1 goal credited to Ottawa for the shootout win, not to any skater. Shots on goal were 20-18 for Ottawa. Each team scored 1 goal on 6 power plays. Matt Murray made 18 saves on 20 shots for Nashville, and Linus Ullmark made 16 saves on 18 shots for Ottawa. Three DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Roman Josi 2+ shots on goal (-205 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Josi put 2 or more shots on goal in 55 of his 68 games last season, about 2.7 a game, so the volume floor was there. - What happened: Josi finished with 0 goals, 1 assist, 2 shots on goal, 5 blocked shots and 24:19 of ice time, including 4:55 on the power play. That is 0.5 over the line. His first shot on goal came at 14:20 of the 2nd, and the one that cashed it came in overtime, a wrist shot Ullmark stopped at 1:56 of the extra period. He also had the secondary assist on Marchessault's power-play goal in the 1st. - Worth watching: Josi plays big minutes with heavy power-play time, so the shot floor holds up even on a night when Ottawa got in a lot of his lanes. At -205 the price is steep, and our pass point was -215.

ALT: Under 6.5 total goals: CASHED - Our read: Ottawa was allowing 2.25 goals a game and Nashville 2.75, with Ullmark and Saros projected in net. - What happened: The game produced 4 goals in regulation and overtime, and the shootout goal brought the official total to 5. That is 1.5 under the 6.5 line. Murray started for Nashville instead of Saros, and the two goalies saw 38 shots combined. - Worth watching: Both teams were limited to 20 shots or fewer, which is the kind of game script that favors unders. We would check the goalie starters before playing this angle again, since Saros did not start here.

Senators moneyline (-162 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Ottawa was allowing 2.25 goals a game, and Nashville was giving up 32.5 shots a game. - What happened: Ottawa won 3-2 in a shootout. The Senators trailed 2-0 after the 1st, cut it to one on the power play in the 2nd, tied it with 1:23 left in the 3rd, and won it in the shootout. Nashville held Ottawa to 20 shots, well under the 32.5 a game from our read, but Ottawa still outshot them. - Worth watching: This one took overtime and a shootout to cash, so it was closer than the read suggested. The price was inside our pass point of -170.

How the game played out

Nashville won the 1st period 2-0 with one goal at even strength and one on the power play. Ottawa scored once in the 2nd and once late in the 3rd to force overtime. Nashville threw 34 hits and blocked 26 shots, while Ottawa won 54.7 percent of the faceoffs. Neither goalie allowed a goal in overtime.

Trends to watch

• Josi logged 24:19 with 4:55 on the power play, and Thomas Chabot led Ottawa with 28:43. Heavy minutes like that keep shot props live for both defensemen.
• Both teams drew 6 power-play chances and each scored once. A game with that many penalties gives PP1 players extra time to build shot totals.
• Goalie workload was light on both sides, with 20 and 18 shots on goal. Nashville blocked 26 shots, which kept volume down at the net.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more, see the NHL board, past NHL recaps, and our guide to player props.