Rangers vs. Maple Leafs Recap: Fox, Marchenko and Cowan Cash
The Maple Leafs beat the Rangers 5-4 in regulation, and Troy Stecher scored the winner at 19:32 of the 3rd with 28 seconds left. Neither team led by more than one goal all night. Easton Cowan opened the scoring 1:36 in, Mika Zibanejad answered at 5:39 and Teddy Blueger put Toronto back in front at 10:01 of the 1st. New York took its only lead in the 2nd on goals from Oliver Bjorkstrand at 2:37 and Tye Kartye at 6:30. Brandon Duhaime tied it at 8:00, and Kirill Marchenko scored on the power play at 19:09. Alexis Lafreniere tied it 4-4 at 14:25 of the 3rd before Stecher won it. Toronto outshot New York 35-25 and scored once on its two power plays, while the Rangers did not score on their only one. Dylan Garand made 30 saves on 35 shots (.857) for New York, and Sergei Bobrovsky made 21 saves on 25 shots (.840) for Toronto. Six DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Jack Roslovic 2+ shots on goal (-170 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Roslovic had 2+ shots in 9 of his last 10 and 10 of 11 games this season. With Tavares on IR, he was picking up more of the center minutes. - What happened: 3 shots on goal in 15:58 (0:40 on the power play), 1.5 over the line. He also had an assist on Cowan's opener at 1:36 of the 1st and added 3 hits. - Worth watching: His shot floor has held all season, and the bigger role was the core of our read. We will keep checking this line while that role holds.
J.T. Miller under 2.5 shots on goal (-185 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Miller had 2 or fewer shots in 9 of his last 10 and 10 of 11 games this season, including each of his last 5. - What happened: 1 shot on goal in 17:01 (1:03 on the power play), 1.5 under the line. He spent his night in the faceoff circle, winning 11 draws and losing 12, and was held off the sheet. - Worth watching: The under fits a center whose shot volume has stayed low. At -185 the price is steep, so the 2.5 number is what makes it worth a look.
Kirill Marchenko 1+ points (-175 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Marchenko had a point in 8 of his last 10 and 9 of 11 games this season, with 4 in his last 5. - What happened: His power-play goal at 19:09 of the 2nd, a poke assisted by Gavin McKenna and William Nylander, put Toronto up 4-3. That was 1 point, 0.5 over the line, in 18:23 of ice time. - Worth watching: He logged 2:33 on the power play, in the same range as Auston Matthews (2:38) and Nylander (2:31). Power-play time like that keeps his point line on our list.
Adam Fox 1+ points (-140 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Fox had a point in 8 of his last 10 and 8 of 11 games this season, with 4 in his last 5. - What happened: 4 assists and a +4 in 23:59, 3.5 over the line. He set up all four Rangers goals: Zibanejad's tip-in in the 1st, Bjorkstrand and Kartye in the 2nd, and Lafreniere's tying goal at 14:25 of the 3rd. He did it with 0 shots on goal. - Worth watching: Fox played heavy minutes in every situation, with 1:07 on the power play and 1:35 shorthanded. A defenseman with that usage and a hand in every goal stays on our list at a price like -140.
Easton Cowan 2+ shots on goal (-140 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Cowan had 2+ shots in 9 of his last 10 and 9 of 11 games this season, including each of his last 5. - What happened: 4 shots on goal in 16:48, 2.5 over the line. One of them was the opening goal, a wrist shot at 1:36 of the 1st from Jake McCabe and Roslovic. - Worth watching: He did it with only 0:35 of power-play time, so his even-strength role is the thing to watch.
Kirill Marchenko 2+ shots on goal (-290 at FanDuel, -320 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Marchenko had 2+ shots in each of his last 5, 9 of his last 10 and 10 of 11 this season, and the Rangers were starting backup Dylan Garand with Shesterkin on IR. - What happened: 4 shots on goal, 2.5 over the line, including the power-play goal at 19:09 of the 2nd. Garand faced 35 shots on the night. - Worth watching: The shot floor is real, but at -290 or shorter the price leaves little room. It is most interesting when a goalie spot like this one backs up the volume.
How the game played out
The 2nd period was the swing. It produced four goals, and Toronto outshot New York 16-9 in the frame. Lafreniere's hooking penalty at 17:56 of the 2nd set up Marchenko's go-ahead goal on the power play. The Rangers tied it again in the 3rd, but Stecher, with assists from Morgan Rielly and Duhaime, beat Garand with 28 seconds left.
Trends to watch
- Toronto's power play leaned on one group. Matthews and Darren Raddysh each had 2:38, Marchenko and McKenna had 2:33, and Nylander had 2:31.
- The Rangers rode Vladislav Gavrikov (25:02) and Fox (23:59) on the back end, and both had an assist on the first Rangers goal.
- Toronto blocked 16 shots to New York's 6, and the Rangers threw 34 hits to Toronto's 19. Garand still saw 35 shots, a heavy workload for a backup.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. More NHL reads are on the NHL hub and in NHL recaps. New to props? Start with the player prop glossary.
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