DARIMARKET
NHL · Game recap · Sat, Oct 24

Red Wings vs. Flames Recap: Farabee Cashes Two in Calgary 4-1 Win

Final · Detroit Red Wings at Calgary Flames
Flames 4, Red Wings 1
Board plays on this game
4 of 8 hit. We post the misses too.

The Calgary Flames beat the Detroit Red Wings 4-1 on Saturday night, and the 2nd period decided it. Joel Farabee opened the scoring at 17:50 of the 1st. Andrew Copp tied it for Detroit at 2:22 of the 2nd, but Calgary answered with three straight goals in that period: a Zayne Parekh power-play goal at 8:38, a Ryan Strome even-strength goal at 17:04 and a Matvei Gridin power-play goal at 18:30. Nobody scored in the 3rd. Detroit outshot Calgary 29-25, but Devin Cooley made 28 saves on 29 shots for a .966 save percentage, while John Gibson made 21 saves on 25 shots. Calgary scored on both of its power plays and killed off both Detroit chances. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Lucas Raymond 2+ shots on goal (-300 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: An easy alt rung. Raymond had been clearing two shots on goal in nearly every recent game, and he had done it regularly against Calgary. - What happened: Raymond finished with 2 shots on goal in 20:47 of ice time, including 2:35 on the power play. His first came at 17:38 of the 2nd and the one that cleared the line came at 15:53 of the 3rd, 0.5 over the 1.5 line. - Worth watching: He logged 20-plus minutes with a regular power-play role, which is the base this rung needs. At -300 the price implies about 75%, so it fits better as a parlay leg than a straight bet.

Alex DeBrincat 3+ shots on goal (-240 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Another easy alt rung. DeBrincat had been reaching three shots on goal in most of his recent games, and the form held across both his last 10 and his last 5. - What happened: DeBrincat put 3 shots on goal in 21:56, the most ice time of any Detroit forward, with 2:39 on the power play. His shots came at 10:39 and 11:15 of the 2nd and at 8:18 of the 3rd, and Cooley stopped all three. That is 0.5 over the 2.5 line. - Worth watching: Top forward minutes plus power-play time is the volume engine for this prop. The cushion was thin here, so the price matters next time.

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Joel Farabee 1+ points (-108 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Farabee had been getting on the scoresheet in most of his recent games, and his form against Detroit pointed the same way. - What happened: 1 goal and 2 assists for 3 points in 18:52, which is 2.5 over the 0.5 line. His own goal at 17:50 of the 1st cashed it, and he then assisted on both Calgary power-play goals, at 8:38 and 18:30 of the 2nd. - Worth watching: Calgary used him in every situation, including 2:28 short-handed and 0:40 on the power play. A near-even price on a 1+ point prop for a player in that role is worth a look again.

Joel Farabee 2+ shots on goal (-220 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: An easy alt rung, built on Farabee clearing two shots on goal in most of his recent games and in his history against Detroit. - What happened: 3 shots on goal, 1.5 over the 1.5 line. Shots at 17:21 and 17:50 of the 1st cleared it before the first intermission, and the second one was his goal. He added a third at 1:01 of the 3rd. - Worth watching: He got there before the first intermission despite only 0:40 of power-play time. If his all-situations role holds, the 2+ rung stays worth a look.

How the game played out

The 2nd period swung it. Calgary scored three times on 10 shots in that frame, two of them on the power play. Detroit outshot or matched Calgary in every period, 10-8 in the 1st, 10-10 in the 2nd and 9-7 in the 3rd, but Cooley made 5 power-play saves and Detroit's only goal was Copp's backhand early in the 2nd.

Trends to watch

  • Detroit shot volume: The Red Wings put 29 shots on goal, and Raymond and DeBrincat both played more than 20 minutes with at least 2:35 on the power play. That usage keeps their shot rungs live.
  • Calgary special teams: The Flames scored on both power plays and killed both Detroit chances. Farabee was on the ice for the kill, logging 2:28 short-handed, on top of his scoring role.
  • Goalie workload: Cooley faced 29 shots and Gibson faced 25. Gibson allowed 4 goals on those 25 shots for an .840 save percentage, so Calgary scored without heavy volume.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. See tonight's NHL board, the full list of NHL recaps, and our guides to implied probability and alt lines.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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