DARIMARKET
NHL · Game recap · Thu, Oct 8

Sharks vs. Blues Recap: Nurse OT Winner Sends Over 4.5 Home

Final · San Jose Sharks at St. Louis Blues
Sharks 3, Blues 2
Board plays on this game
2 of 2 hit.

The San Jose Sharks beat the St. Louis Blues 3-2 in overtime, with Darnell Nurse scoring 1:03 into the extra period. St. Louis led twice, on Connor McMichael's tip-in in the 1st and Dillon Dube's shorthanded goal early in the 3rd, and San Jose answered both times through Tyler Toffoli and Collin Graf. San Jose outshot St. Louis 27-26. Alex Nedeljkovic made 24 saves on 26 shots for the Sharks, and Joel Hofer made 24 saves on 27 for the Blues. Neither power play scored. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Over 4.5 total goals: CASHED - Our read: San Jose came in allowing 4.0 goals a game, and Yaroslav Askarov was sitting at a .862 save percentage. We took the alternate over at 4.5 instead of the main 5.5. - What happened: Five total goals, 0.5 over the line, and it took overtime to get there. The game was 2-2 after regulation, and Nurse's wrist shot at 1:03 of overtime was the fifth goal. Nedeljkovic, not Askarov, was in net for San Jose, and he finished at .923. - Worth watching: This one cleared by the thinnest margin possible, so treat the result as a reminder that the full-game total counts overtime. The angle on San Jose's goals against still needs a fair alt price to be worth a look.

Igor Chernyshov under 2.5 shots on goal: CASHED - Our read: Chernyshov had three shots through three games, and he had stayed under 2.5 shots on goal in each of his last five games and in eight of his last 10. - What happened: Chernyshov finished with 0 shots on goal, 2.5 under the line. He went 0 goals, 0 assists and -1 in 15:56, including 2:57 on the power play. - Worth watching: He got power-play time and still did not put a puck on net, which fits the low-volume profile in our read. As long as his shot rate stays this low, the under is worth checking again at a fair price.

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How the game played out

St. Louis controlled the 1st, outshooting San Jose 11-3 and taking a 1-0 lead at 3:52. San Jose tied it on Toffoli's goal at 8:48 of the 2nd. Dube scored shorthanded 1:39 into the 3rd, but Graf answered at 6:05, with Toffoli picking up the assist. The Sharks then outshot the Blues 11-3 in the 3rd and won it on their only shot of overtime.

Trends to watch

  • San Jose came up empty on four power plays and gave up Dube's shorthanded goal on one of them. St. Louis came up empty on its two chances.
  • Toffoli had a goal and an assist on four shots, with 4:36 on the power play.
  • Nurse logged 22:38 and scored the winner on one of his two shots.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. More on the NHL board, how alt lines work, and how a total is graded.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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