Baylor vs. Kansas Recap: Marshall Run Wins It 25-24, Under Cashes

Kansas beat Baylor 25-24 on a 15-yard Isaiah Marshall touchdown run with 1:13 left. It was a grind: the teams were tied 7-7 at halftime, Kansas ran the ball 56 times and held it for 36:41, and the two teams combined for 49 points, including a Baylor pick-six. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Under 60.5 total points (-237 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Kansas games had stayed under 60.5 in 9 of their last 10 and Baylor games in 8 of 10, with a combined average of 52. The main total was 53.5. - What happened: The game finished with 49 points, 11.5 under the alt. Neither team scored in the second quarter, and Kansas failed on two-point tries after both of its fourth-quarter touchdowns. - Worth watching: Kansas leaned on the run with 56 carries, which drains the clock and keeps totals down. With both teams' recent games landing in the low 50s, an alt set a full touchdown above the main total gave this play plenty of room.

Gavin Freeman 6+ receptions (-270 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Freeman had 6 or more catches in all 6 games this season and 8 of his last 10, averaging 7.3 over that span. - What happened: He caught 9 passes for 123 yards, 3.5 catches over the line, with a long of 38. No other Baylor receiver had more than 4 catches. - Worth watching: Freeman caught 9 of DJ Lagway's 20 completions. Even with Kansas holding the ball for well over half the game, he got his volume, and his receptions line keeps looking like a strong angle.

How the game played out

After the 7-7 half, Baylor took control in the third quarter. D. Jordan returned a Marshall interception 42 yards for a touchdown, and Lagway hit Jayden McGowan from 8 yards out to make it 21-10. Kansas chipped back in the fourth with a 34-yard Marshall pass to Nik McMillan and a 42-yard Connington field goal. Baylor went back up 24-19 on a 42-yard field goal with 2:40 left, but Kansas answered with the Marshall run for the win.

Kansas' Dylan Edwards carried 30 times for 156 yards. Baylor was flagged 12 times for 116 yards, while Kansas had just 3 penalties for 30 yards.

Trends to watch

• Edwards' 30 carries show how much Kansas trusts its run game. His rushing attempts and yardage props deserve attention in close games.
• Freeman has now caught 6 or more passes in every game this season. His role as the top target in Baylor's passing game is steady.
• Kansas games have now stayed under 60.5 in 10 of their last 11. When this team controls the clock, the under is the side to look at first.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. More on these bets: totals, player props, and the CFB hub.