Missouri vs. Ole Miss Recap: Late Field Goal Clears the Team Total

Ole Miss beat Missouri 31-3. Missouri took a 3-0 lead on a 27-yard Blake Craig field goal, then Trinidad Chambliss threw three touchdown passes before halftime and Ole Miss never looked back. The Rebels ran for 257 yards on 38 carries and held Missouri to 39 rushing yards. Two DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

Donovan Olugbode 3+ receptions (-360 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Olugbode had 3+ catches in 8 of his last 10 and 5/5 this season, averaging 4.3 over his last 3. - What happened: He caught 9 passes for 127 yards with a long of 23, clearing the line by 6.5 catches. He led Missouri in catches and yards. - Worth watching: Missouri threw 44 times while chasing the game, and Olugbode soaked up the volume. Reception props on a team's top target hold up well in a trailing script, which is when the run game disappears.

ALT: Ole Miss over 28.5 team total points (-165 DraftKings / -180 FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Ole Miss had cleared 28.5 in 9 of its last 10. The 58.5 game total with Ole Miss -4 implied about 31, and the main team total was 31.5. - What happened: Ole Miss scored 31 and cleared by 2.5. This one came late: Chambliss ran in a 5-yard touchdown early in the fourth to make it 28-3, and Lucas Carneiro hit a 38-yard field goal with 3:45 left to get over the number. - Worth watching: Ole Miss stayed scoreless in the third quarter, which shows how fragile an alt this close to the main line can be. The cushion came from the offense staying on the field (9-14 on third down, 27 first downs), not from big plays.

How the game played out

Chambliss was 20-of-36 passing with 241 yards, 3 touchdowns and no interceptions, hitting Caleb Odom from 10, Horatio Fields from 21 and Caleb Cunningham from 17. Kewan Lacy ran 16 times for 122 yards and Makhi Frazier added 101 on 15 carries. Missouri moved the ball through the air, 339 passing yards from Austin Simmons, but Jamal Roberts managed 39 yards on 20 carries and the offense never reached the end zone.

Trends to watch

• Ole Miss had two 100-yard rushers. That split makes Lacy and Frazier rushing props worth checking against each other rather than assuming one lead back.
• Olugbode's 9 catches came on a day Missouri ran for 1.5 yards per carry. If the run game stalls again, his volume should follow.
• Ole Miss outgained Missouri 498 to 378 and possessed the ball for 31:06.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. Learn more about player props and totals, or see today's college football board.