Rutgers vs. Northwestern Recap: Chiles, Wilde Power 42-14 Win
Northwestern beat Rutgers 42-14, and it was settled early. The Wildcats scored three touchdowns in the first quarter, led 28-6 at the half and finished with 502 yards to Rutgers' 344. Aidan Chiles ran for two scores and threw for three more. Four DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
Griffin Wilde 50+ receiving yards (-400 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Wilde had cleared 50 in 8 of his last 10 games and 8 of his last 10 at home, averaging 76.9 yards, and Rutgers graded as a good receiving matchup. - What happened: He caught 9 passes for 133 yards, clearing the line by 83.5. He also opened the scoring with a 13-yard touchdown from Chiles on Northwestern's first score. - Worth watching: Wilde is Chiles' top target and the volume showed up again. At a steep price, the better value may come from his higher alt yardage tiers in a matchup like this one.
Aidan Chiles anytime TD (-240 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Chiles had 7 rushing touchdowns and had scored in all 6 games this year, 9 of his last 10. Northwestern was implied for 37 at home. - What happened: He scored twice on the ground: a 1-yard run late in the first quarter and a 37-yard run with 4:33 left. He ran 12 times for 83 yards and completed 19 of 25 passes for 219 yards and 3 touchdowns. - Worth watching: A quarterback who keeps the ball at the goal line is a steady scoring prop. Chiles has now scored in every game he has played this year.
Caleb Komolafe anytime TD (-210 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Komolafe had scored in 8 of his last 10 home games with 4 touchdowns this year, and Rutgers graded as a good touchdown matchup. - What happened: He broke a 33-yard touchdown run with 1:46 left in the first half to make it 28-3. He finished with 150 yards on 13 carries, with a long of 56. - Worth watching: Northwestern ran for 283 yards as a team, and Komolafe carried the biggest share. If the Wildcats keep running this well, his yardage props deserve a look along with the touchdown.
ALT: Under 66.5 total points (-251 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Northwestern games had stayed under 66.5 in 9 of their last 10, Rutgers games in 7 of 10, and the combined last-10 average was 55.9. The main total was 59.5. - What happened: The game finished with 56 points, 10.5 under the alt. Rutgers managed only two field goals in the first half, and Northwestern did not score in the third quarter. - Worth watching: The alt under paid even with Northwestern scoring 42. When one side is projected for most of the points, an alt under a touchdown above the main total holds a lot of room.
How the game played out
Rutgers got going on the ground with 244 rushing yards, including a 46-yard Antwan Raymond touchdown run late in the third quarter that cut it to 28-14. Northwestern answered with a 4-yard Chiles pass to Drew Wagner and the 37-yard Chiles run. Rutgers turned it over three times, and Northwestern converted 9 of 13 third downs.
Trends to watch
- Chiles was involved in five of Northwestern's six touchdowns, three passing and two rushing.
- Northwestern ran 41 times for 283 yards. Its backs and quarterback both have room to produce.
- Wilde's 9 catches for 133 yards make him the clear first read in this passing game.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. More on these bets: player props, totals, and the CFB hub.
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