DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Wed, Oct 28

76ers vs. Pacers Recap: Maxey Fuels 39-Point Fourth, Ten Plays Cash

Final · Philadelphia 76ers at Indiana Pacers
76ers 114, Pacers 109
Board plays on this game
10 of 14 hit. We post the misses too.

Philadelphia beat Indiana 114-109 after trailing by 13 going into the fourth quarter. The 76ers led 62-52 at halftime, then the Pacers won the third 36-13 to go up 88-75. Philadelphia answered with a 39-21 fourth, and Tyrese Maxey scored 17 of his 27 points in that quarter, including the free throws that put the 76ers ahead for good at 96-94. Pascal Siakam led Indiana with 26 points and 11 rebounds. Ten DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.

What cashed

ALT: Under 240.5 total points (-148 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: The main total sat at 236.5, so the alt gave us 4 points of cushion, and the two teams' recent games had stayed under 240.5 in 16 of 20.
  • What happened: The game finished at 223 total points, 17.5 under the line. Both teams shot 36 threes, and Indiana made only 9 of them.
  • Worth watching: Buying cushion on an under works when both offenses have been landing below the number. A late scoring burst like this fourth quarter is the risk to price in.

ALT: Jaylen Brown 18+ points (-232 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Brown had cleared 18+ points in 9 of his last 10 games and 19 of his last 20. The best price implied 70 percent against about 87 percent from recent games.
  • What happened: He scored 20 on 7-of-13 shooting in 34 minutes, 2.5 over the line.

Jaylen Brown 32+ points + rebounds + assists (-114 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: He had cleared 32+ PRA in 7 of his last 10 games and 16 of his last 20.
  • What happened: 20 points, 10 rebounds and 2 assists made exactly 32, 0.5 over the line.
  • Worth watching: The rebounds carried this one. Brown's scoring line has more room, while the combo line leans on him crashing the glass.

ALT: Tyrese Maxey 4+ assists (-390 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Maxey had 4+ assists in 9 of his last 10 and in every game this season, averaging 5.0 over the last 10, and he had cleared in 9 of his last 10 road games.
  • What happened: He finished with exactly 4 assists to go with 27 points in 36 minutes.
  • Worth watching: At -390 the price is steep, and he landed right on the number. The volume is there, but the cushion was thin.

VJ Edgecombe 9+ rebounds + assists (+104 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Edgecombe had cleared 9+ rebounds + assists in 7 of his last 10 games and 14 of his last 20, at a plus price.
  • What happened: 7 rebounds and 2 assists made exactly 9.
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ALT: VJ Edgecombe 6+ rebounds (-108 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: He had cleared 6+ rebounds in 7 of his last 10 games and 15 of his last 20.
  • What happened: He grabbed 7 rebounds in 29 minutes, 1.5 over the line, on a night he shot 3-of-10.
  • Worth watching: His rebounding held up even with a cold shooting night, which is why glass-based lines can be steadier than his points.

Pascal Siakam 20+ points (-205 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Siakam had 20+ in 9 of his last 10 and in every game this season, averaging 24.7 over the last 10, with 9 of 10 cleared at home.
  • What happened: He scored 26 on 11-of-17 shooting, 6.5 over the line.

Pascal Siakam 26+ points + assists (-120 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: He had cleared 26+ points + assists in 8 of his last 10 games and 14 of his last 20.
  • What happened: 26 points and 3 assists made 29, 3.5 over the line.
  • Worth watching: Siakam took 17 shots and played 34 minutes. When that volume holds at home, his scoring lines stay in play.

ALT: Andrew Nembhard 12+ points (-236 at DraftKings): CASHED

  • Our read: Nembhard had 12+ in 9 of his last 10, averaging 15.9 over that stretch.
  • What happened: He scored 18 in 35 minutes, 6.5 over the line, and added 14 assists.
  • Worth watching: He hit only 1 of 7 threes and still cleared easily, helped by 7-of-8 free throws. That kind of floor is what makes an alt line useful.

Aaron Nesmith 12+ points (-118 at FanDuel): CASHED

  • Our read: Nesmith had 12+ in 8 of his last 10, averaging 16.0, though he had dipped to 11.7 over his last 3.
  • What happened: He scored 18 in 27 minutes, 6.5 over the line, with 3 threes and a perfect 5-of-5 at the line.
  • Worth watching: His recent dip was the concern. A game like this suggests his shot volume is still there, but check his minutes first.

How the game played out

Indiana won the paint 48-36 and took 35 free throws to Philadelphia's 24. Philadelphia got 20 points off the bench from Anfernee Simons on 6-of-10 from three, and Joel Embiid added 21 points and 11 rebounds. The 76ers made 21 of those 24 free throws, and Maxey took several of them in the final minutes.

Trends to watch

  • Indiana assisted on 30 of its 36 made field goals, with Nembhard at 14 of them. His scoring props come with a high floor when he runs the offense like that.
  • The 76ers' starters carried heavy minutes, with Embiid at 39 and Maxey at 36. Workloads like that keep their combo lines worth checking.
  • Siakam went 0-for-3 from three and still scored 26 from inside the arc and the line. His points do not depend on outside shooting.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see alt line and player prop, or get more at /nba.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

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