Warriors vs. Timberwolves Recap: Curry Scores 44, Five Plays Cash
Golden State beat Minnesota 119-114 behind 44 points from Stephen Curry, who shot 11-of-27 from the field, 6-of-16 from three and 16-of-16 at the line. The Warriors won the first quarter 30-23 and the second 34-25 to lead 64-48 at the half, and their lead reached 24. Minnesota answered with 33 points in each of the last two quarters and got within 117-114 on a Bones Hyland bank shot with 0.8 seconds left before Curry closed it with two free throws. Yaxel Lendeborg added 26 points and 9 rebounds. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game.
What cashed
ALT: Warriors over 104.5 points (-310 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: The main Warriors team total sat at 111.5 to 112.5, Golden State had scored 105+ in each of its last 5 and 9 of its last 10, and Anthony Edwards was out for Minnesota.
- What happened: The Warriors had 93 through three quarters and finished with 119, 14.5 over the line. They went 30-of-37 at the line and scored 54 points in the paint.
- Worth watching: Buying a team total down this far costs a heavy price. It fits best when the main number sits well above it, as it did here.
ALT: Timberwolves over 112.5 points (-180 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: The main Wolves team total was 115.5, and Minnesota had scored 113+ in 8 of its last 10 and in all 4 games this season.
- What happened: Minnesota trailed 93-81 after three quarters, then scored 33 in the fourth. Hyland's bank shot with 0.8 seconds left took the Wolves from 112 to 114, 1.5 over the line.
- Worth watching: This one needed the last basket. A trailing team that keeps shooting late can help a team over, but the margin was thin.
ALT: Jaden McDaniels 6+ rebounds (+150 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: McDaniels had cleared 6+ rebounds in 7 of his last 10 games and 13 of his last 20. At +150 the price implied 40 percent against about 65 percent from recent games.
- What happened: He grabbed 7 rebounds, 2 of them offensive, in a team-high 35 minutes, 1.5 over the line. He also scored 19 points.
- Worth watching: Plus-money rebound lines are worth checking when a player is logging this many minutes. His volume, not a big night on the glass, got it there.
Joan Beringer 7+ points (-113 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: Beringer had cleared 7+ points in 7 of his last 10 games and 9 of his last 12. At -113 the price implied 53 percent against about 69 percent from recent games.
- What happened: He scored exactly 7 on 3-of-3 shooting plus 1-of-3 at the line in 20 minutes, 0.5 over.
Joan Beringer 12+ points + rebounds (-130 at FanDuel): CASHED
- Our read: He had cleared 12+ points + rebounds in 7 of his last 10 and 9 of his last 12.
- What happened: 7 points and 9 rebounds made 16, 4.5 over the 11.5 line. Seven of the rebounds came on the defensive end.
- Worth watching: The combo had far more room than the points line. Rebounds carried it, and that held up even with only three shot attempts.
How the game played out
Golden State won the glass 53-42, with 13 offensive rebounds to Minnesota's 7. Minnesota made more threes, 15 to 11, and had 31 assists, but went 19-of-27 at the line while the Warriors got there 37 times. Rudy Gobert finished with 1 point and 4 rebounds in 20 minutes.
Trends to watch
- Curry took 16 of Golden State's 37 free throws. Free-throw volume like that gives a team total a floor even on an 11-of-35 night from three.
- Minnesota scored 66 after halftime while chasing. Late scoring by a trailing team can carry its total, but it can just as easily stall.
- Beringer pulled 9 rebounds in 20 minutes. His combo lines lean on that rebound rate more than on his shot count.
Stats are from the ESPN box score. For more on these markets, see total and alt line, or get more at /nba.
21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.