DARIMARKET
NBA · Game recap · Mon, Nov 2

Bucks vs. Timberwolves Recap: Jaquez Leads Nine Cashed Plays

Final · Milwaukee Bucks at Minnesota Timberwolves
Timberwolves 112, Bucks 100
Board plays on this game
9 of 13 hit. We post the misses too.

Minnesota beat Milwaukee 112-100 on Monday night. The Timberwolves won the first quarter 29-18, the Bucks took the second 29-19 to trail just 48-47 at the half, and Minnesota pulled away by winning the third 32-29 and the fourth 32-24. The Wolves led for 88 percent of the game. Nine DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game, including three on Jaime Jaquez Jr. and two on Jaden McDaniels.

What cashed

ALT: Jaime Jaquez Jr. 15+ points (+114 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Jaquez had 15+ points in 7 of his last 10 and 12 of his last 20. At +114, about 47% implied against a recent rate near 63%, this was a long shot that landed. - What happened: He scored 19 on 8-of-17 shooting in 28 minutes, clearing by 4.5. - Worth watching: Plus money on a scoring line he clears most nights is the kind of price we look for.

Jaime Jaquez Jr. 18+ points + assists (-120 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: He cleared this in 8 of his last 10 and 15 of his last 20. The -120 price implied 55% against about 74%. - What happened: 19 points and 2 assists made 21, 3.5 over the line. - Worth watching: The points did nearly all the work, so this combo tracks his scoring night.

ALT: Jaime Jaquez Jr. 25+ points + rebounds + assists (+130 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: 25+ PRA in 7 of his last 10 and 13 of his last 20. The +130 price implied 43% against about 65%. - What happened: Eight rebounds pushed him to 29 PRA, 4.5 clear. - Worth watching: He grabbed 3 offensive boards, and that rebounding gives PRA a second path when the shot is cold.

ALT: Tyler Herro 15+ points (-471 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Herro cleared 15+ in 5 of 6 games this season, averaging 22.0. - What happened: He scored 21 on 8-of-18 shooting with four threes in 31 minutes, clearing by 6.5. - Worth watching: Eleven three-point attempts shows the volume behind his scoring. At this price it fits best as a parlay leg.

Kyle Kuzma 3+ assists (+118 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Kuzma had 3+ assists in 9 of his last 10 and 13 of his last 20. The +118 price implied 46% against about 73%. - What happened: He finished with exactly 3 assists in 22 minutes on a 2-point night. It cleared by 0.5. - Worth watching: It landed right on the number with a light workload, so his minutes are the thing to check before the next one.

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ALT: Jaden McDaniels 12+ points (-517 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: McDaniels cleared 12+ points in all 7 games this season, averaging 17.3. - What happened: He scored 13 on 5-of-14 shooting in 29 minutes, clearing by 1.5. - Worth watching: Even on an inefficient night the floor held, which is what a short alt line is for.

ALT: Jaden McDaniels 20+ points + rebounds + assists (-522 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: 20+ PRA in all 7 games this season, averaging 26.9. - What happened: 13 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists made 22, 2.5 clear. Four of his boards were offensive. - Worth watching: The combo gave him more cushion than points alone on a quieter scoring night.

Rudy Gobert 20+ points + rebounds + assists (-220 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Gobert was off Monday's injury report and had 20+ PRA in 8 of his last 10, 5 of 6 this season. - What happened: 10 points, 10 rebounds and 1 assist made 21 in 31 minutes, clearing by 1.5. He went 4-of-12 at the line. - Worth watching: His rebounding carries the floor here, and 12 free throw attempts show how often he gets to the line.

ALT: Joan Beringer 6+ rebounds (-111 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Beringer had 6+ rebounds in 8 of his last 10 and 9 of his last 15. The -111 price implied 53% against about 67%. - What happened: He grabbed 7 rebounds in 14 minutes, 6 of them offensive, clearing by 1.5. - Worth watching: That is a strong rate per minute. His minutes are the swing factor for this line.

How the game played out

Minnesota won the glass 59-53, with 21 offensive rebounds. LaMelo Ball led all scorers with 34 on 12-of-21 shooting, including 6-of-13 from three, and Ayo Dosunmu added 19 points, 12 rebounds and 8 assists. Milwaukee shot 38-of-99 from the field and 15-of-49 from three, and its largest lead was 3.

Trends to watch

  • Jaquez took 17 shots in 28 minutes. That volume is what drives his points-based combos.
  • Gobert and Beringer combined for 17 rebounds, 10 of them offensive. Minnesota big-man rebound lines are worth a look when the opponent shoots poorly.
  • Herro took 11 threes in 31 minutes. That kind of shot volume keeps his points floor steady.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. See our guides on player props, alt lines and implied probability, or head back to the NBA hub.

21+. Research and commentary, not a sportsbook. Past calls don't guarantee future results.

Player hit rates from this game

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Free. Hit rates show past results, not a prediction. 21+.

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