Clippers vs. Warriors Recap: Warriors Over 107.5 and Podziemski Cash

Golden State beat the Clippers 124-112 on Sunday night without Stephen Curry, Draymond Green and Jimmy Butler. The Clippers won the first quarter 37-29, but the Warriors took the second 34-20 to lead 63-57 at the half, then stayed ahead the rest of the way. Yaxel Lendeborg scored 37 on 13-of-19 shooting with 6 threes, and De'Anthony Melton added 21 on 6-of-8 from deep. Golden State made 22 threes as a team. Five DARIMARKET plays cashed on this game: two on Brandin Podziemski, the Warriors team total and two on Keaton Wagler.

What cashed

ALT: Warriors over 107.5 points (-192 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Golden State was a 2.5-point favorite even with Curry, Green and Butler resting, and had scored 108+ in 8 of its last 10. We shaded the number down to account for the missing stars. - What happened: The Warriors scored 124, clearing the alt line by 16.5. They shot 53% from the field and 22-of-49 from three. - Worth watching: The supporting cast scored plenty without the stars. When books shade a team total for absences, check whether the remaining shooters can still carry the volume.

Brandin Podziemski 17+ points (-103 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: Podziemski had 17+ points in 8 of his last 10 and 14 of his last 20. The best price, -103, implied about 51% against a recent rate of about 72%. - What happened: He scored exactly 17 on 7-of-14 shooting in 37 minutes, along with 8 rebounds and 8 assists. It cleared by 0.5. - Worth watching: Thirty-seven minutes is a big workload. With the stars out, his all-around role expands, so combo lines are worth a look as well.

Brandin Podziemski 2+ threes (-250 at DraftKings): CASHED - Our read: He made 2+ threes in 8 of his last 10, and with Curry, Green, Butler and Moody all out, his shot volume was set to rise. - What happened: Podziemski made 2 of his 7 attempts from three, enough to get there. - Worth watching: Seven attempts is the volume we wanted. The price is steep, so this works best as a building block, not a standalone bet.

Keaton Wagler 4+ rebounds (-162 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Wagler had 6, 4, 5, 3 and 5 rebounds over his last five, playing about 26 minutes a night. - What happened: He grabbed exactly 4 rebounds in just 19 minutes. - Worth watching: He got there in fewer minutes than usual. Rebound lines at this number hold up as long as his minutes stay in the 20s.

Keaton Wagler 3+ assists (-172 at FanDuel): CASHED - Our read: Wagler had 3+ assists in four of five games this season, and -172 implied about 63%. - What happened: 4 assists in 19 minutes, 1.5 over the line, plus 7 points. - Worth watching: Assists held up on a night his shot was off (0-of-4 from three). That makes the assist line the steadier way to play him.

How the game played out

The Clippers came out hot. Rui Hachimura scored 24 on 10-of-16 shooting, and the Clippers made 18 of 19 free throws. The second quarter flipped the game. Golden State finished with 32 assists on 46 field goals and led by as many as 22. Brandon Williams added 17 off the bench.

Trends to watch

• Lendeborg played 34 minutes and took 19 shots. While the regular starters are out, his scoring lines are worth checking each night.
• Melton made 6 of 8 threes in 28 minutes. Golden State took 49 threes as a team, which keeps three-point props in play for its rotation shooters.
• Wagler played only 19 minutes against his recent 26. Check his minutes before you bet his counting stats again.

Stats are from the ESPN box score. See our guides on team totals, alt lines and implied probability.